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823 Linden
B- Composite 66.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

823 Linden · Handy, MI 48836
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 31 Days on market
Built 1989 Good condition 436 sqft lot $529/mo HOA · 51% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in a welcoming community! Features include an open floor plan, large kitchen, private primary suite, abundant natural light, and convenient single-level living. Close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Affordable and move-in ready!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Large kitchen
  • Single-level living

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE KITCHENPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTSINGLE-LEVEL LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Grand Ave to Van Riper west to Linden (cross street Van Riper and Linden)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $529 monthly fee; HOA fee includes trash

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single‑family residence; One story; Ground‑level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area above grade: 1,100 (finished)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Paved road access; Irregular lot shape

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free‑standing electric oven; Free‑standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced‑air heating
  • Interior features: Dryer; Washer; Free‑standing electric oven; Free‑standing refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fowlerville Community Schools (town): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #240 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.49%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.82%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,300
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Cedar River Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,038 (-6%) 18mo $226,900 $219 64
744 Village Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,218 (+11%) 18mo $261,000 $214 47
123 Hale St E 0.52mi 3/1.0 972 (-12%) 8mo $207,500 $213 46
212 Free St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,058 (-4%) 16mo $200,000 $189 44
713 Village Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+13%) 23mo $244,000 $197 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$1,196
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$9,786
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48836

Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$529
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
271 Garden Ln Fowlerville, MI 2.0 1.0 975 $1,125 $1.15 1d 1 0.30mi
332 Garden Ln Fowlerville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 24d 1 0.33mi
121 E Van Riper Rd Fowlerville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 14d 1 0.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$529 · $6,348/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $39,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in a welcoming community! Features include an open floor plan, large kitchen, private primary suite, abundant natural light, and convenient single-level living. Close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Affordable and move-in ready!

  17. 2026-05-18
    listed $39,000 Active 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home in a welcoming community! Features include an open floor plan, large kitchen, private primary suite, abundant natural light, and convenient single-level living. Close to shopping, dining, and major roadways. Affordable and move-in ready!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,548
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− HOA
−$6,348
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$1,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready, single-family home in Fowlerville MI is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It offers a spacious floor plan and is located in a welcoming community. Minor updates to the exterior and interior can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing the home's value.
  • Both Update landscaping — Fresh landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the home.
  • Both Replace any worn-out windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, enhancing the home's value.
  • Both Update landscaping — Fresh landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the home.
  • Both Replace any worn-out windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
  • Both Upgrade HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fowlerville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2614730
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$62,306
Composite
32.31/100
National rank
#5748
State rank
#240 of 540 in MI

Livability — Handy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Fowlerville, MI
Population (ZIP)
14,978

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Italian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.44%
Current HPI
201.7919
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $39,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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