14540 S Wacousta Rd · Watertown, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A true diamond in the rough home on 2.5 acres in Grand Ledge schools, Property gently slopes to the rear. Burbling creek crosses the back of the property. Restore & renovate the 2 bedroom 1 bath home to potentially 5 bedrooms 2 baths, or build your dream walkout. Home currently is in marginal condition, with 2 current bedrooms, 1 on each level. Den on 2nd floor has been used previously as non-conforming bedroom. Lots of partially finished area on 2nd floor for 2 more BR's & a bath. Large eat-in kitchen & dining. Main floor laundry. Basement is walkout (or drive-in). Heat is by wood stove in living room, or hot water boiler by fuel oil. Don't miss your chance for prime location minutes to I-96 on paved road, easy access to Lansing & GR! Limited showings days & 24 hour notice so plan ahead.
Key facts
- Walkout basement
- 2.5 acres
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no attached garage)
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Propane; Electric water heater
- Home design: Traditional style; One-and-one-half story; Entry on side; Front faces south; Waterfront frontage
- Construction: Built in 1890; Wood siding and hardboard exterior; Shingle roof; Stone foundation; Additional structures include shed(s) and a poultry coop
- Exterior features: Deck and porch; Rain gutters; Many trees and wooded areas; Private, rectangular sloped lot with views; Waterfront on a stream; Paved road frontage (county road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (combo kitchen and dining); Free-standing gas range/oven; Range hood; Oven; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (primary bedroom located on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil heating; Wood heating and wood stove; No central cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Primary bedroom on the main level; Wood-burning fireplace and wood stove in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater; Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Grand Ledge Public Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #131 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.41%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $18,773
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $65,654
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48837
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,823 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,933/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-13$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,933
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,750
- − Management
- −$1,750
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $5,627
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Ledge Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2616410
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,300
- Composite
- 39.74/100
- National rank
- #3893
- State rank
- #131 of 540 in MI
Livability — Watertown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wacousta, MI
- County
- Eaton County · 52,430 people
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,947
- Household income
- $96,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 305.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,490 people
- By 2030
- 82,558 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 82,325 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 79,133 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 65,737 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 51,314 · -37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.22%
- Current HPI
- 208.1861
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $120,000 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,933 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…