12254 Wild Pine Dr Unit A · Houston, TX 77039

$80,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,782 sqft · Townhouse public records · 115 Days on market

Built 1979 1,785 sqft lot $45/sqft · 32% below area Est $118k · 32% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in the Aldine area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome offers a functional open layout with a spacious living area, tile flooring throughout, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space- brand new roof 2026. The property is currently in livable condition but presents a great value-add opportunity with some cosmetic updates. Conveniently located just minutes from I-69 and Beltway 8, providing easy access to major employment centers, shopping, and dining. The home is situated in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking and is also a short drive to Downtown Houston and George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ideal for investors looking for a rental property, light rehab project, or long-term hold. Plenty of potential to increase value with minor improvements.

Key facts

• Brand new roof
• Open layout
• Tile flooring

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• TILE FLOORING
• AMPLE CABINET SPACE
• BRAND NEW ROOF
• DEDICATED PARKING
• QUIET TOWNHOME COMMUNITY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $72,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.26%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.44%
• DSCR: 2.27
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $118,295
• List price: $80,000
• Delta: -32.37%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5755 Easthampton Dr Unit C	0.15mi	3/2.5	1,623 (-9%)	1mo	$117,999	$73	78
12203 W Village Dr Unit C	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,698 (-5%)	2mo	$139,000	$82	77
12203 Wild Pine Dr Unit C	0.08mi	3/2.5	1,680 (-6%)	15mo	$84,000	$50	74
5731 Easthampton Dr Unit A	0.17mi	3/2.5	1,623 (-9%)	5mo	$122,500	$75	73
12307 W Village Dr Unit A	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,728 (-3%)	10mo	$119,900	$69	72
12266 Wild Pine Dr Unit C	0.02mi	3/2.5	1,623 (-9%)	16mo	$117,000	$72	71
5802 Twisted Pine Ct Unit F	0.19mi	3/2.5	1,920 (+8%)	10mo	$164,899	$86	70
12223 Wild Pine Dr Unit D	0.08mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,555 (-13%)	2mo	$110,900	$71	68
5767 Easthampton Dr Unit C	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,623 (-9%)	12mo	$128,000	$79	67
5714 Easthampton Dr Unit C	0.19mi	3/2.5	1,527 (-14%)	4mo	$125,000	$82	64
12223 W Village Dr Unit D	0.27mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,619 (-9%)	12mo	$55,000	$34	54
12419 W Village Dr Unit A	0.39mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,526 (-14%)	13mo	$58,000	$38	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.94×
• Total profit: $20,986
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.78×
• Total profit: $62,356
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77039

• Home prices YoY: -20.7%
• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,595 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$276 /mo · $3,312/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $923

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $576	-5% $554	+0% $531	+5% $508	+10% $486
Rent	-10% $405	-5% $468	+0% $531	+5% $594	+10% $657
Rate	-1.0pp $571	-0.5pp $551	base $531	+0.5pp $510	+1.0pp $489

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5001 Aldine Mail Route Rd Houston, TX	1.0–5.0	1.0–2.5	1065	$1,144	$1.07	44d	16	0.79mi
11235 Lemond Dr Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	1368	$1,450	$1.06	23d	1	1.41mi
13121 Vickery St Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1900	$1,950	$1.03	44d	1	1.43mi
4610 Anice St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1786	$1,566	$0.88	13d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $80,000 Active 112 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $80,000 Active 109 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $80,000 Active 106 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 97 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 94 DOM
16. 2026-04-02
    price $80,000 786-char remark

    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Investor opportunity in the Aldine area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome offers a functional open layout with a spacious living area, tile flooring throughout, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space- brand new roof 2026. The property is currently in livable condition but presents a great value-add opportunity with some cosmetic updates. Conveniently located just minutes from I-69 and Beltway 8, providing easy access to major employment centers, shopping, and dining. The home is situated in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking and is also a short drive to Downtown Houston and George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ideal for investors looking for a rental property, light rehab project, or long-term hold. Plenty of potential to increase value with minor improvements.

17. 2026-02-26
    listed $90,000 Active 786-char remark

    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Investor opportunity in the Aldine area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome offers a functional open layout with a spacious living area, tile flooring throughout, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space- brand new roof 2026. The property is currently in livable condition but presents a great value-add opportunity with some cosmetic updates. Conveniently located just minutes from I-69 and Beltway 8, providing easy access to major employment centers, shopping, and dining. The home is situated in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking and is also a short drive to Downtown Houston and George Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ideal for investors looking for a rental property, light rehab project, or long-term hold. Plenty of potential to increase value with minor improvements.

18. 2025-07-16
    soldstatus
19. 2025-07-11
    soldstatus Closed 773-char remark

    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome located in the Aldine area, offers comfortable, low-maintenance living! Just minutes from major highways like I-69 and Beltway 8!! This property features an open-concept layout with a spacious living room, tile flooring throughout for easy upkeep, and a functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. While the property is in livable condition, it will need some touchups and minor updates to reach its full potential and maximize value. Located in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking, this home is ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Enjoy convenient access to schools, parks, and shopping, all within a short drive to Downtown Houston or George Bush Intercontinental Airport. COME SEE IT BEFORE IT'S GONE!!!

20. 2025-07-08
    status Pending 773-char remark

    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome located in the Aldine area, offers comfortable, low-maintenance living! Just minutes from major highways like I-69 and Beltway 8!! This property features an open-concept layout with a spacious living room, tile flooring throughout for easy upkeep, and a functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. While the property is in livable condition, it will need some touchups and minor updates to reach its full potential and maximize value. Located in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking, this home is ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Enjoy convenient access to schools, parks, and shopping, all within a short drive to Downtown Houston or George Bush Intercontinental Airport. COME SEE IT BEFORE IT'S GONE!!!

21. 2025-06-25
    listed $75,000 Active 773-char remark

    Show marketing remark (773 chars)

    This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome located in the Aldine area, offers comfortable, low-maintenance living! Just minutes from major highways like I-69 and Beltway 8!! This property features an open-concept layout with a spacious living room, tile flooring throughout for easy upkeep, and a functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. While the property is in livable condition, it will need some touchups and minor updates to reach its full potential and maximize value. Located in a quiet townhome community with dedicated parking, this home is ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Enjoy convenient access to schools, parks, and shopping, all within a short drive to Downtown Houston or George Bush Intercontinental Airport. COME SEE IT BEFORE IT'S GONE!!!

22. 2025-06-13
    soldstatus
23. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus
24. 2004-03-01
    soldstatus
25. 1995-08-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,312 · $276/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,312 · $276/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,137
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$3,312
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,531
• − Management: −$1,531
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $5,554
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,333
• After-tax cash flow: $5,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Aldine ISD
• NCES district ID: 4807710
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $37,081
• Composite: 15.42/100
• National rank: #9317
• State rank: #790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 27,862
• Household income: $47,119
• Rent vs Own: 40.3% rent · 59.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1128.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 15% Black 9% White 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 71%
• Foreign-born: 38% · Canada
• Languages at home: 25% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -82.88%
• Current HPI: 316.66
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+6.7% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
• 2026-02-26 Listed $90,000 HARMLS
• 2025-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2025-07-11 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2025-07-08 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-06-25 Listed $75,000 HARMLS
• 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1995-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,312 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.