1976 E William St · Decatur, IL 62521

$38,897

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 820 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1922 3,485 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

2 BEDROOM 1 BATH. NEWER TUB AND SURROUND, FRONT STAIRS, FLOORING & HOT WATER. CURRENTLY USED AS A RENTAL PROPERTY, PLEASE INQUIRE WITH AGENT FOR MORE DETAILS. CAN ALSO BE SOLD IN PKG @ $275,897 - 6 PROPERTIES - 2152 E DECATUR; 2038 E WHITMER; 1720 N GULICK; 936 E MOORE; 621 E SAWYER; 1976 E WILLIAM.

Key facts

• 3,485 sq ft lot
• Built 1922
• Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Gravel road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has cooling (type: Other)
• Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Refrigerator; Full unfinished basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $39k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($909 rent vs $39k).
• Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 93% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $269 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $16k; list at $39k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $38,897

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.50%
• DSCR: 3.20
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 47.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.05×
• Total profit: $22,324
• Equity at exit: $5,800

10-year hold

• IRR: 52.9%
• Equity multiple: 6.17×
• Total profit: $56,339
• Equity at exit: $3,363

Cash invested: $10,891 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62521

• Home prices YoY: -9.0%
• Active inventory: 193
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $909 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$204
• Tax from tax record: −$49 /mo · $587/yr
• Insurance: −$16
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$191
• Net cashflow: $449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $341

Max offer price $38,897

Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,724
• Closing costs: $1,167
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2032 E North St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	754	$900	$1.19	43d	1	0.08mi
249 N 17th St Decatur, IL	3.0	2.0	700	$995	$1.42	43d	1	0.24mi
347 N Stone St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	850	$875	$1.03	43d	1	0.43mi
165 S East Ave Unit NA Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	850	$800	$0.94	43d	1	0.44mi
2448 E Wood St Decatur, IL	3.0	1.0	800	$995	$1.24	13d	1	0.63mi
1237 E Johns Ave Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$895	$0.90	43d	1	0.67mi
1245 Sedgwick St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	1055	$895	$0.85	43d	1	0.71mi
1304 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	850	$850	$1.00	43d	1	0.77mi
1455 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	1050	$915	$0.87	43d	1	0.77mi
698 S Stone St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	900	$795	$0.88	43d	1	0.78mi
1718 E Cantrell St Decatur, IL	3.0	2.0	900	$1,000	$1.11	43d	1	0.79mi
1729 N Woodford St Decatur, IL	2.0	1.0	728	$825	$1.13	43d	1	1.08mi
759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL	3.0	1.0	1080	$695	$0.64	43d	1	1.10mi
803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL	3.0	1.0	900	$935	$1.04	43d	1	1.12mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $38,897 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   remarks 302-char remark
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $38,897 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   remarks 160-char remark
5. 2026-06-17
   listed $38,897 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $587 · $49/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $735 · $61/mo
• Expected delta: +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 25.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,912
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,179
• − Property taxes: −$587
• − Insurance: −$194
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$873
• − Management: −$873
• − Depreciation: −$1,132
• Taxable income: $5,074
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,218
• After-tax cash flow: $4,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Decatur SD 61
• NCES district ID: 1711850
• Math proficiency: 3% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 6% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $38,864
• Composite: 3.99/100
• National rank: #10059
• State rank: #605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #1076
• US rank: #20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Decatur, IL
• County: Macon County · 78,333 people
• City population: 78,333
• Metro: Decatur, IL
• Population (ZIP): 32,665
• Household income: $66,337
• Rent vs Own: 25.5% rent · 74.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 640.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 99,568 people
• By 2030: 94,973 · -4.6%
• By 2040: 85,250 · -14.4%
• By 2050: 75,920 · -23.8%
• By 2075: 55,962 · -43.8%
• By 2100: 36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

• 2024 margin: R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -17.96%
• Current HPI: 180.9274
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Decatur, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+691.1% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $38,897 CIBR
• 2017-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
• 2016-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $4,917 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $587 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.