304 N College Dr · Franklin, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice townhouse on an end unit in a well-maintained community. 2 primary bedrooms upstairs each with their own full bathroom. Downstairs is a spacious living room with a gas fireplace. Property offers low maintenance outside with front and side yards maintained by the association. A sliding glass door leads to the fenced back yard and storage shed. A playground across the street and convenient to shopping and entertainment. Case#544-362992 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- End unit
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#461 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin City Public School District (town): math 23% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #127 of 131 in VA (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $79k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $104k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.09%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,249
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -38.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 1mo | $224,990 | $156 | 87 |
| 105 Summit View Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 1mo | $231,020 | $160 | 87 |
| 100 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 3mo | $244,990 | $170 | 86 |
| 103 Summit View Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 2mo | $228,105 | $158 | 86 |
| 101 Summit View Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 5mo | $269,595 | $187 | 84 |
| 111 Summit View Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 4mo | $240,520 | $167 | 84 |
| 106 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $222,615 | $154 | 84 |
| 228 Summith Path | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $236,105 | $164 | 83 |
| 108 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $226,375 | $157 | 83 |
| 206 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $232,985 | $162 | 83 |
| 204 Summit Path | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $241,255 | $167 | 83 |
| 202 Summit Path Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,442 (+2%) | 6mo | $232,450 | $161 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-9,973
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,811
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23851
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,522 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,615/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$76
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 South St Unit 1 Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 116 Holland Cir Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 680 Oak St Unit 111 Franklin, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,150 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $76 · $912/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $140,000 Under Contract 167 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $140,000 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Nice townhouse on an end unit in a well-maintained community. 2 primary bedrooms upstairs each with their own full bathroom. Downstairs is a spacious living room with a gas fireplace. Property offers low maintenance outside with front and side yards maintained by the association. A sliding glass door leads to the fenced back yard and storage shed. A playground across the street and convenient to shopping and entertainment. Case#544-362992 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.
-
2026-04-07price $177,500 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Nice townhouse on an end unit in a well-maintained community. 2 primary bedrooms upstairs each with their own full bathroom. Downstairs is a spacious living room with a gas fireplace. Property offers low maintenance outside with front and side yards maintained by the association. A sliding glass door leads to the fenced back yard and storage shed. A playground across the street and convenient to shopping and entertainment. Case#544-362992 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.
-
2026-02-06price $197,100 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Nice townhouse on an end unit in a well-maintained community. 2 primary bedrooms upstairs each with their own full bathroom. Downstairs is a spacious living room with a gas fireplace. Property offers low maintenance outside with front and side yards maintained by the association. A sliding glass door leads to the fenced back yard and storage shed. A playground across the street and convenient to shopping and entertainment. Case#544-362992 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.
-
2025-12-30$219,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Nice townhouse on an end unit in a well-maintained community. 2 primary bedrooms upstairs each with their own full bathroom. Downstairs is a spacious living room with a gas fireplace. Property offers low maintenance outside with front and side yards maintained by the association. A sliding glass door leads to the fenced back yard and storage shed. A playground across the street and convenient to shopping and entertainment. Case#544-362992 IE (Insured Escrow) Subject to Appraisal. Property is Owned by the US Dept. of HUD. Seller makes no representations or warranties as to the property condition. HUD Homes are Sold "AS IS". Equal Housing Opportunity. Seller may contribute up to 3% for buyers closing costs upon buyer request.
-
2022-09-27status Under Contract
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2022-09-11historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-08-30price $145,000
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2022-08-17$159,900 Active
-
2018-08-22soldstatus $104,000
-
2018-06-14status Under Contract
-
2018-04-19$119,000 Active
-
2018-04-19historical
-
2018-03-02status Active
-
2018-02-25historical
-
2017-07-10price $119,900
-
2017-06-27$120,000 Active
-
2017-06-27historical
-
2017-06-22price $120,000
-
2017-06-01price $109,900
-
2017-04-25$115,000 Active
-
2004-12-14soldstatus $98,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,615 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,615 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,615
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,461
- − Management
- −$1,461
- − HOA
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $195
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$47
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101410
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -48.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,138
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6227
- State rank
- #127 of 131 in VA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #461
- US rank
- #19645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,481
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,817 people
- By 2030
- 7,480 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 6,803 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 6,124 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 4,484 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 2,967 · -62.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 44% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 28.1pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+25.6 2016: D+27.1 2012: D+30.7 2008: D+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.51%
- Current HPI
- 293.564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+42.9% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $140,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $177,500 REINMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $197,100 REINMLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $219,000 REINMLS
- 2022-09-27 Pending — REINMLS
- 2022-09-11 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-08-30 Price Changed $145,000 REINMLS
- 2022-08-17 Listed $159,900 REINMLS
- 2018-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-14 Pending — REINMLS
- 2018-04-19 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2018-04-19 Listed $119,000 REINMLS
- 2018-03-02 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2018-02-25 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2017-07-10 Price Changed $119,900 REINMLS
- 2017-06-27 Listed $120,000 REINMLS
- 2017-06-27 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2017-06-22 Price Changed $120,000 REINMLS
- 2017-06-01 Price Changed $109,900 REINMLS
- 2017-04-25 Listed $115,000 REINMLS
- 2004-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,615 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…