CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1409 Marcella St NE
C- Composite 51.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

1409 Marcella St NE · Albuquerque, NM 87112
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,384 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1958 6,403 sqft lot $184/sqft · at area comps Est $301k · 15% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into this well maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offering apx 1,600 sq ft of comfortable living space and endless potential. A welcoming vestibule entry sets the tone, leading into a warm and functional layout. The cozy wood burning fireplace and unique kitchen bar are perfect for entertaining or casual dining. The converted garage is flexible space for an office, workshop or extra storage, with the option to convert it back to a traditional garage if desired. Outside, enjoy a covered patio and low maintenance backyard complete with a storage shed and classic metal window awnings that add character and efficiency. Full of charm and ready for your personal refresh, this home is being so

Key facts

  • Unique kitchen bar
  • Converted garage
  • Covered patio

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEUNIQUE KITCHEN BARCONVERTED GARAGECOVERED PATIOLOW MAINTENANCE BACKYARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (converted; includes workshop space) with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Resale property
  • Construction: Board and batten siding; Brick veneer; Stucco exterior; Metal and tar/gravel roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Covered, screened patio; Shed(s); Wall fencing; City street frontage (paved)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar and breakfast area; Ceiling fan(s); Main level primary; Shower only with separate shower; Casement windows; Single-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($666/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $213,442 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$300,897
List price
$255,000
Delta
-15.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1113 June St NE 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,387 (+0%) 2mo $289,000 $208 79
1833 Britt St NE 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,380 (-0%) 5mo $295,000 $214 63
1126 Propps St NE 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,324 (-4%) 3mo $295,000 $223 62
821 Muriel St NE 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,418 (+2%) 3mo $325,000 $229 60
11101 Arvada Ave NE 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,442 (+4%) 1mo $299,000 $207 60
1212 Gretta St NE 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,274 (-8%) 5mo $305,900 $240 59
1126 Gretta St NE 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,511 (+9%) 3mo $304,999 $202 59
1217 Kirby St NE 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,542 (+11%) 1mo $340,000 $220 56
1708 Kirby St NE 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,250 (-10%) 4mo $365,000 $292 52
11018 Snowheights Blvd NE 0.68mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,316 (-5%) 1mo $275,000 $209 51
10516 Love Ave NE 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,190 (-14%) 3mo $299,000 $251 42
1833 Elizabeth St NE 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (+12%) 4mo $332,500 $215 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-34,939
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-13,867
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87112

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,134 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,064
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $200 -5% $128 +0% $56 +5% $-17 +10% $-89
Rent -10% $-113 -5% $-29 +0% $56 +5% $140 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $184 -0.5pp $120 base $56 +0.5pp $-11 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 Shirley St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1625 $2,300 $1.42 15d 1 0.13mi
11517 Ralph Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 4.0 2.0 1274 $2,100 $1.65 24d 1 0.19mi
11608 Clifford Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 24d 1 0.33mi
1725 Shirley St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,900 $1.86 24d 1 0.35mi
1732 Muriel St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,845 $1.60 44d 1 0.38mi
717 Grace St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,875 $1.80 24d 1 0.82mi
2405 Dorothy St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,700 $1.60 24d 1 0.98mi
7801 Marble Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1148 $1,565 $1.36 21d 1 1.03mi
2316 Britt St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1403 $2,300 $1.64 24d 1 1.04mi
905 La Charles Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1473 $2,650 $1.80 44d 1 1.05mi
1512 Clancy Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,800 $1.63 3d 1 1.06mi
12412 Grand Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1022 $1,850 $1.81 45d 1 1.13mi
12509 Nambe Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1272 $1,800 $1.42 24d 1 1.16mi
10113 Blume St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,900 $1.12 44d 1 1.28mi
12004 Zia Rd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1323 $2,145 $1.62 3d 7 1.30mi
10211 Blume St NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1632 $1,850 $1.13 3d 1 1.31mi
10843 Fort Point Ln NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.5 1768 $2,195 $1.24 24d 1 1.34mi
1212 Childers Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 951 $2,000 $2.10 44d 1 1.38mi
517 Ida Pl NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.5 1058 $2,000 $1.89 21d 1 1.41mi
1413 Field Dr NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1847 $3,000 $1.62 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $255,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    pricestatusdays on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 761-char remark
  4. 2026-04-20
    listed $270,000 Active 761-char remark
  5. 1997-11-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,613
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,246
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,049
− Management
−$2,049
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$3,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$890
After-tax cash flow
$1,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albuquerque, NM
County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,250
Household income
$73,937
Rent vs Own
36.9% rent · 63.1% own
Severe rent burden
1362.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 17% Native American 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -323.07%
Current HPI
254.731
Rent YoY
▲ 4.33%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $255,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $270,000 Southwest MLS
  • 1997-11-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,246 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…