15942 S Avenida Villa Grata Salvaje · Sahuarita, AZ 85629

$192,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 160 sqft · Manufactured public records · 60 Days on market

Built 2000 2,021 sqft lot $1200/sqft · 529% above area Est $143k · 34% over $190/mo HOA · 10% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.1/30.0
• DSCR +5.3/10.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

Key facts

• Private patio
• Ample storage
• 2,021 sq ft lot

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• WELL-APPOINTED KITCHEN
• PRIVATE PATIO
• GENEROUS CLOSET SPACE
• AMPLE STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot approximately 2,021 sq ft (58.5 x 34.54); Road responsibility handled by HOA; Zoned Sahuarita - SP
• HOA & community: Part of an association with monthly HOA dues; HOA amenities include clubhouse, pool, recreation room and spa/hot tub; HOA covers common area maintenance, gated community and street maintenance; Community features include pool, jogging/bike paths, basketball court, gated access, athletic facilities, paved streets, sidewalks, walking trails and pickleball

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 covered space, 1 garage space)
• Utilities: Water from a water company; Sewer connected
• Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Level (accessibility); East-facing
• Construction: Frame construction with stucco exterior; Tile roof
• Exterior features: Slab and paver patio; Block fencing; Decorative gravel and shrubs; East/West exposure; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen equipped with dishwasher, refrigerator, gas range and gas oven
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Gas Range, Gas Oven; Laundry closet with stacked washer/dryer space
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet with stacked space

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $192k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (2.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $186k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.7% in Sahuarita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#43 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Sahuarita Unified District (4411) (town): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #63 of 249 in AZ (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sahuarita Intermediate School (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #386 of 1,109 statewide, top 35%, 392 students, 36% FRL); Sahuarita Middle School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #65 of 218 statewide, top 30%, 579 students, 40% FRL); Sahuarita High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #212 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 1,146 students, 38% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 453 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 9 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $124k; list at $192k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $186,240 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.02%
• DSCR: 1.13
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $143,086
• List price: $192,000
• Delta: 34.19%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-27,386
• Equity at exit: $28,628

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-31,758
• Equity at exit: $16,601

Cash invested: $53,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85629

• Home prices YoY: -20.7%
• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 453
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,869 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,007
• Tax from tax record: −$64 /mo · $771/yr
• Insurance: −$80
• HOA: −$190
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$392
• Net cashflow: $135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,698

Max offer price $192,000

Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $244	-5% $190	+0% $135	+5% $81	+10% $27
Rent	-10% $-12	-5% $61	+0% $135	+5% $209	+10% $283
Rate	-1.0pp $232	-0.5pp $184	base $135	+0.5pp $86	+1.0pp $35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,000
• Closing costs: $5,760
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1260 W Calle de Sotelo Sahuarita, AZ	1.0	1.0	750	$1,800	$2.40	45d	1	0.08mi
920 W Calle Tikal Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.0	1465	$1,995	$1.36	21d	1	0.55mi
752 W Paseo Celestial Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.5	1378	$1,775	$1.29	5d	1	0.60mi
988 W Calle Monte Lindo Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.0	1862	$1,899	$1.02	25d	1	0.70mi
958 W Calle Las Varitas Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.0	1467	$2,199	$1.50	5d	1	0.93mi
281 W Paseo Celestial Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.5	1378	$1,750	$1.27	5d	1	1.00mi
232 W Calle La Bolita Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.0	1861	$1,845	$0.99	23d	1	1.01mi
200 W Vuelta Friso Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.0	1861	$1,875	$1.01	45d	1	1.05mi
528 W Camino Curvitas Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.5	2162	$2,295	$1.06	45d	1	1.13mi
94 W Paseo Celestial Sahuarita, AZ	3.0	2.5	1378	$1,700	$1.23	25d	1	1.15mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $190 · $2,280/yr
• Likely covers: poolgym

Listing history 43 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $192,000 Active 60 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $192,000 Active 57 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $192,000 Active 56 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $192,000 Active 55 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $192,000 Active 54 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $192,000 Active 52 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $192,000 Active 51 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $192,000 Active 49 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $192,000 Active 48 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $192,000 Active 47 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $192,000 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $192,000 Active 43 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $192,000 Active 42 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $192,000 Active 41 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $192,000 Active 40 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $192,000 Active 39 DOM
17. 2026-05-13
    status Active 786-char remark
18. 2026-05-02
    historical Active Contingent 786-char remark
19. 2026-04-22
    listed $192,000 Active 786-char remark
20. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $123,700 Closed 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

21. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $123,700

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

22. 2020-06-05
    status Pending 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

23. 2020-06-05
    historical Active Contingent 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

24. 2020-05-17
    status Active 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

25. 2020-05-04
    status Active Contingent 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

26. 2020-04-23
    historical 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

27. 2020-04-22
    status Active 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

28. 2020-04-12
    historical Active Contingent 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

29. 2020-04-08
    listed $123,700 Active 828-char remark

    Show marketing remark (828 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a bright & clean retirement or winter get-away home in highly sought after Rancho Resort! This low-care 2 bed 2 bath features an open floor concept with abundant natural light, vaulted ceilings, & included appliances. The private patio is a quaint space, perfect for relaxing with a book & soaking up the Arizona sun. Large single car garage maximizes storage while the master bedroom is spacious with beautiful windows & ample closet space. Wheelchair accessible doorways & bathroom. Features: Clubhouse, complete with ballroom, library, fire-side lounge & village green, cycling paths, multiple activity rooms: billiards, crafts, computer center, fitness center with free classes, heated swimming pool and spa, volleyball courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball & dog ru

30. 2019-06-26
    status Pending

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

31. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

32. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus $95,000

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

33. 2019-06-03
    historical Active Contingent

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

34. 2019-05-31
    status Active

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

35. 2019-05-17
    status Pending

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

36. 2019-04-09
    listed $95,000 Active

    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Lovely, Light and Bright Home! Excellent location with remarkable resort style amenities. This low maintenance, cozy home features 2 bed rooms & 2 baths, sky lights and much more! Nice back patio perfect for entertaining. Great place to call home or investment property. Come see Today !

37. 2018-04-12
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
38. 2018-04-12
    soldstatus $75,000
39. 2018-03-21
    status Pending
40. 2018-03-19
    listed $75,000 Active
41. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $92,000 Closed
42. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $92,000
43. 2005-04-14
    soldstatus $170,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $771 · $64/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,267 · $106/mo
• Expected delta: +$496/yr (+$41/mo · 64.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,426
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,755
• − Property taxes: −$771
• − Insurance: −$960
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,794
• − Management: −$1,794
• − HOA: −$2,280
• − Depreciation: −$5,585
• Taxable loss: −$1,514
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$363
• After-tax cash flow: $1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sahuarita Unified District (4411)
• NCES district ID: 0407300
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $63,564
• Composite: 34.91/100
• National rank: #5072
• State rank: #63 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Sahuarita

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #43
• US rank: #8414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sahuarita, AZ
• County: Pima County · 1,012,107 people
• City population: 31,668
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 31,668
• Household income: $109,253
• Rent vs Own: 16.2% rent · 83.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 220.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,066,056 people
• By 2030: 1,086,684 · +1.9%
• By 2040: 1,117,160 · +4.8%
• By 2050: 1,149,778 · +7.9%
• By 2075: 1,271,480 · +19.3%
• By 2100: 1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 17% Black 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

• 2024 margin: D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -61.38%
• Current HPI: 234.6422
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.31%
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+12.9% since first listed

27 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Relisted — MLSSAZ
• 2026-05-02 Contingent — MLSSAZ
• 2026-04-22 Listed $192,000 MLSSAZ
• 2020-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $123,700 Public Records
• 2020-07-17 Sold (MLS) $123,700 MLSSAZ
• 2020-06-05 Pending — MLSSAZ
• 2020-06-05 Contingent — MLSSAZ
• 2020-05-17 Relisted — MLSSAZ
• 2020-05-04 Relisted — MLSSAZ
• 2020-04-23 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
• 2020-04-22 Relisted — MLSSAZ
• 2020-04-12 Contingent — MLSSAZ
• 2020-04-08 Listed $123,700 MLSSAZ
• 2019-06-26 Pending — MLSSAZ
• 2019-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
• 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MLSSAZ
• 2019-06-03 Contingent — MLSSAZ
• 2019-05-31 Relisted — MLSSAZ
• 2019-05-17 Pending — MLSSAZ
• 2019-04-09 Listed $95,000 MLSSAZ
• 2018-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
• 2018-04-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MLSSAZ
• 2018-03-21 Pending — MLSSAZ
• 2018-03-19 Listed $75,000 MLSSAZ
• 2016-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
• 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MLSSAZ
• 2005-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $771 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.