621 Rappolla St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * FANTASTIC EQUITY POTENTIAL!! * * * This 3BD/1BA brick townhome located in the up-and-coming area of GREEKTOWN, is an excellent opportunity whether you are an Investor or a handy First-time Home Buyer who wants to create equity! With updated HVAC, 3 full levels with closets and storage, the MAIN LEVEL offers an open floor-plan with Living Room, Dining Room, & Kitchen with Breakfast Bar & Rear Balcony. UPPER LEVEL has a large Owners Bedroom, with two additional Bedrooms and a Jack-and-Jill Full Bath. LOWER LEVEL offers several rooms with the potential to include a family room, home gym, playroom, recreation room, or extra storage, depending on your vision. With its loc
Key facts
- Built 1925
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade area and finished/unfinished breakdown available (below-grade finished and unfinished areas recorded)
- Financial info: Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment); Annual ground rent listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse / rowhouse; Ground rent interest
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Partially finished basement with daylight windows and walkout level; connecting stairway and interior access; Above grade and below grade structures
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Chain link fence (partial, rear); Balcony; Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Breakfast area / Kitchen eat-in; Dining area; Ceiling fans; Tub with shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $831 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John Ruhrah Elementary/Middle (math 3% / reading 7%, grade F, #766 of 860 statewide, top 93%, 930 students, 62% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 79% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.28%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $306,944
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 Ponca St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $216 | 87 |
| 628 Savage St S | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+5%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $128 | 86 |
| 737 S Macon St | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 | 1,376 (-2%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $243 | 77 |
| 432 Bonsal St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (-3%) | 2mo | $174,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 606 S Lehigh St | 0.29mi | 3/3.0 | 1,495 (+6%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $181 | 67 |
| 738 S Macon St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,568 (+11%) | 0mo | $348,000 | $222 | 60 |
| 348 Elrino St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+4%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $144 | 57 |
| 813 Fagley St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-10%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $222 | 50 |
| 808 S Eaton St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+6%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $218 | 48 |
| 3820 Hudson St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-6%) | 1mo | $298,900 | $227 | 48 |
| 902 Grundy St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+13%) | 1mo | $352,500 | $222 | 46 |
| 416 Imla St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,608 (+14%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $149 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $22,949
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $71,946
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $831
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $922 | -5% $877 | +0% $831 | +5% $786 | +10% $741 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $636 | -5% $734 | +0% $831 | +5% $929 | +10% $1,027 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $912 | -0.5pp $872 | base $831 | +0.5pp $790 | +1.0pp $748 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 Rappolla St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 611 Oldham St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 708 Umbra St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1274 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 608 Oldham St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1640 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 727 S Macon St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,450 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 410 S Newkirk St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1330 | $1,580 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 560 Bayview Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1108 | $3,372 | $3.04 | 4d | 25 | 0.24mi |
| 527 S Lehigh St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,325 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4505 Foster Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4500 Fait Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1792 | $2,800 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 230 S Newkirk St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 19d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 228 S Newkirk St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1620 | $3,000 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 224 S Newkirk St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1600 | $3,300 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 133 S Macon St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 502 S Haven St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 502 S Haven St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4015 Eastern Ave Unit 2L Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 301 Cornwall St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,750 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 301 Cornwall St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,900 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 611 Grundy St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,700 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 335 Drew St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1207 Anglesea St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $2,150 | $1.85 | 6d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 909 | $2,820 | $3.10 | 4d | 20 | 0.60mi |
| 442 Folcroft St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 434 Folcroft St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 328 Folcroft St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3850 Boston St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $3,378 | $3.96 | 4d | 22 | 0.64mi |
| 340 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 338 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1218 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 416 Hornel St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,400 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1211 S Eaton St Unit 3035 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $3,900 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 115 S Eaton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1393 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3610 Dillon St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,820 | $3.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3710 E Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3700 Toone St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $3,218 | $2.94 | 3d | 28 | 0.81mi |
| 939 S Baylis St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1606 | $3,500 | $2.18 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 334 Kane St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3518 Elliott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1036 | $2,800 | $2.70 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 822 S Highland Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1508 | $3,500 | $2.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$159,900 Active
-
2026-04-03historical $159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,624 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,624 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,624
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,376
- − Management
- −$2,376
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $7,915
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Coming Soon $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,624 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…