730 E 156th St · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained brick ranch on a quiet, tree-lined street in South Holland! This move-in-ready home features hardwood floors, bright living room, an updated kitchen with white shaker cabinets, black subway tile backsplash, matte black hardware and fixtures, stainless steel appliances, and a cozy dining area. Three spacious bedrooms and two renovated bathrooms offer modern finishes throughout. The standout vaulted family room boasts exposed wood beams and a stunning floor to ceiling fireplace. Enjoy one of the largest backyards on the block with mature trees, lush landscaping, fencing, and a patio area perfect for entertaining. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Exposed wood beams
- Updated kitchen
- Vaulted family room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number available; Directions: Cottage Grove to 156th Street, west to house
- HOA & community: No required master association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Approximately 1.5 garage/parking spaces
- Security: Carbon monoxide detectors; Ceiling fans
- Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family ranch (one story); Fee simple ownership; Not currently leased; Rehab completed or planned in 2025; School bus service available
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built before 1978 (estimated age 61–70 years)
- Exterior features: Landscaped lot; Sidewalks, street lights and paved streets
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eating area / table space in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in several rooms; Laminate and wood laminate flooring in kitchen, family room and laundry
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heater
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Skylights and window screens; One wood-burning fireplace in the family room; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $260k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.20%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,167
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746 E 157th St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,403 (-2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $128 | 84 |
| 15607 Gouwens Ln | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,317 (-8%) | 5mo | $237,000 | $180 | 71 |
| 15518 Maple St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,345 (-6%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 615 E 156th Pl | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-10%) | 2mo | $198,650 | $153 | 66 |
| 15439 University Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,428 (-1%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 15547 Drexel Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+11%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $117 | 58 |
| 618 E 159th Pl | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,294 (-10%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $182 | 58 |
| 15554 S Park Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (+6%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $196 | 57 |
| 15265 Drexel Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $115 | 55 |
| 15203 Waterman Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+8%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $181 | 47 |
| 1012 E 159th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+11%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 15321 Ellis Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,224 (-15%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $110 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-14,179
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $24,013
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,007 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$467 /mo · $5,602/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$631
- Net cashflow
- $437
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 15707 Dante Dr South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,950 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 15400 Merrill Ave South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $3,330 | $2.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 670-char remark
-
2026-06-18$259,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,602 · $467/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,752 · $479/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$5,602
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,887
- − Management
- −$2,887
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $1,279
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$307
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+170.8% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $259,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 2017-05-19 Sold (MLS) $74,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-06 Listed $74,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2023): $5,602 · -12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…