🏷️ Likely Rental
898 Ridge Rd Lot 17 · Webster, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sunset Valley is an age 55+ Mobile Home Community. 24'x48'Mfg. Home Blt in 1993. WOW! 1152 sq. ft. double wide, Central Air, Cathedral Ceilings, 2 Bedrooms, 2 baths. Extremely spacious. & well maintained. Recently fully painted. Liv room with skylight, Din room, Kit with stainless steel appliances, Den/office, Master bedroom bath has a walk-in shower, 2nd bathroom off hallway has a tub, Windows & skylight bring in plenty of natural light. Shed is great for storage of lawn mower & yard tools. Mobile Park Lot fee $455 per month includes trash removal, water, paved streets, and lighting. Next door to Atlantic restaurant, near grocery & retail shopping & more. BUYER'S OCCUPANCY IS SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL OF THE PARK. Must complete an application.
Key facts
- Shed for storage
- Cathedral ceilings
- Ranch style home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly land lease / association fee of $518; Located in a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Blown-in insulation; Architectural shingle roof; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating: Gas and Electric options; Forced air heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Dining area; Guest accommodations; Home office; Main level primary suite; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on main level; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.9% in Webster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#221 in NY, #3,471 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
- Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $90k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.21%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,128
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828 Jaclyn Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,101 (-4%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $254 | 61 |
| 940 Limpet Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $318 | 58 |
| 920 Limpet Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,166 (+1%) | 11mo | $333,000 | $286 | 50 |
| 932 Limpet Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,039 (-10%) | 11mo | $249,900 | $241 | 35 |
| 832 Jaclyn Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-14%) | 22mo | $260,000 | $264 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $31,350
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $83,335
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14580
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$518
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $739
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744 Royal Sunset Dr Webster, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1233 | $2,411 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1205 Rousseau Dr Webster, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1143 | $2,696 | $2.36 | 3d | 3 | 0.65mi |
| 77 Deerhurst Ln Webster, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1070 | $2,000 | $1.87 | 3d | 21 | 0.66mi |
| 1010 Hazelnut Bnd Webster, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,979 | $3.66 | 3d | 3 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $518 · $6,216/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrash
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$89,900 Active
-
2021-04-15soldstatus $43,800 Closed Sale or Rented 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Sunset Valley is an age 55+ Mobile Home Community. 24'x48'Mfg. Home Blt in 1993. WOW! 1152 sq. ft. double wide, Central Air, Cathedral Ceilings, 2 Bedrooms, 2 baths. Extremely spacious. & well maintained. Recently fully painted. Liv room with skylight, Din room, Kit with stainless steel appliances, Den/office, Master bedroom bath has a walk-in shower, 2nd bathroom off hallway has a tub, Windows & skylight bring in plenty of natural light. Shed is great for storage of lawn mower & yard tools. Mobile Park Lot fee $455 per month includes trash removal, water, paved streets, and lighting. Next door to Atlantic restaurant, near grocery & retail shopping & more. BUYER'S OCCUPANCY IS SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL OF THE PARK. Must complete an application.
-
2021-03-04status Under Contract- Do Not Show 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Sunset Valley is an age 55+ Mobile Home Community. 24'x48'Mfg. Home Blt in 1993. WOW! 1152 sq. ft. double wide, Central Air, Cathedral Ceilings, 2 Bedrooms, 2 baths. Extremely spacious. & well maintained. Recently fully painted. Liv room with skylight, Din room, Kit with stainless steel appliances, Den/office, Master bedroom bath has a walk-in shower, 2nd bathroom off hallway has a tub, Windows & skylight bring in plenty of natural light. Shed is great for storage of lawn mower & yard tools. Mobile Park Lot fee $455 per month includes trash removal, water, paved streets, and lighting. Next door to Atlantic restaurant, near grocery & retail shopping & more. BUYER'S OCCUPANCY IS SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL OF THE PARK. Must complete an application.
-
2021-02-22$46,000 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Sunset Valley is an age 55+ Mobile Home Community. 24'x48'Mfg. Home Blt in 1993. WOW! 1152 sq. ft. double wide, Central Air, Cathedral Ceilings, 2 Bedrooms, 2 baths. Extremely spacious. & well maintained. Recently fully painted. Liv room with skylight, Din room, Kit with stainless steel appliances, Den/office, Master bedroom bath has a walk-in shower, 2nd bathroom off hallway has a tub, Windows & skylight bring in plenty of natural light. Shed is great for storage of lawn mower & yard tools. Mobile Park Lot fee $455 per month includes trash removal, water, paved streets, and lighting. Next door to Atlantic restaurant, near grocery & retail shopping & more. BUYER'S OCCUPANCY IS SUBJECT TO THE APPROVAL OF THE PARK. Must complete an application.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,282
- − Management
- −$2,282
- − HOA
- −$6,216
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $8,295
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,991
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,872/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 1993 manufactured home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and value. Key areas needing attention include appliances, bathtubs, exterior siding, flooring, paint, and windows.
Repairs flagged
- Major Appliances — Old and worn
- Major Bathtubs and sinks — Signs of wear
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered
- Major Flooring — Worn
- Major Paint — Chipped and faded
- Major Windows — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New appliances — Modern appliances attract buyers
- Resale Bathtub and sink replacement — New fixtures improve aesthetics
- Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring improves living space
- Resale Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances home's appearance
- Resale Window replacement — New windows improve energy efficiency and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Appliances · Old and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathtubs and sinks · Signs of wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Chipped and faded | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Signs of wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $78,000–265,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New appliances — Modern appliances attract buyers ↑
- Resale Bathtub and sink replacement — New fixtures improve aesthetics ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring improves living space ↑
- Resale Painting interior walls — Fresh paint enhances home's appearance ↑
- Resale Window replacement — New windows improve energy efficiency and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630360
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,221
- Composite
- 55.18/100
- National rank
- #1273
- State rank
- #184 of 590 in NY
Livability — Webster
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #3471
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 54,180
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,180
- Household income
- $98,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1325.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.52%
- Current HPI
- 266.2145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+95.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-04-15 Sold (MLS) $43,800 UNYREIS
- 2021-03-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-02-22 Listed $46,000 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…