92 Newman Rd · Cashtown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +4.7/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Split foyer home
- Spacious deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Side-entry attached garage (1 garage space); Driveway with space for 4 vehicles; Total of 5 garage/parking spaces; Off-street parking available
- Utilities: Well water; On-site septic
- Home design: Detached property; Walkout-level finished lower level
- Construction: Brick, stick-built, and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Built year estimated
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Hot tub; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Single oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Combination dining and living areas; Combination kitchen and dining; Dining area; Breakfast area; Wood stove; Ceiling fans; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-747 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (44.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (48.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (48.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,329 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A-, cost of living A-, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Twp El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 369 students, 45% FRL); Gettysburg Area Ms (math 28% / reading 60%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 682 students, 43% FRL); Gettysburg Area Hs (math 80% / reading 24%, grade C-, #112 of 437 statewide, top 26%, 1,024 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $109k; list at $300k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.67%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 16.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $340,916
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -10.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $115,803
- Equity at exit
- $270,264
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $378,340
- Equity at exit
- $582,834
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17353
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 16.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,556 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-747
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-577 | -5% $-662 | +0% $-747 | +5% $-831 | +10% $-916 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-869 | -5% $-808 | +0% $-747 | +5% $-685 | +10% $-624 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-595 | -0.5pp $-670 | base $-747 | +0.5pp $-824 | +1.0pp $-903 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-20price $300,000 1978-char remark
-
2026-05-20$30,000 Active 1978-char remark
-
2026-05-20historical
-
2026-04-06price $305,000
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-03-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-23price $315,000
-
2026-01-09$325,000 Active
-
2002-04-25soldstatus $109,000
-
2002-04-24soldstatus $109,000
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |
-
2002-02-21historical
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |
-
2001-01-22$109,900
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,332 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,036 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- +$704/yr (+$59/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$3,332
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,494
- − Management
- −$1,494
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$14,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,523
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gettysburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210710
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,451
- Composite
- 46.03/100
- National rank
- #2526
- State rank
- #132 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cashtown
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1329
- US rank
- #16387
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.28%
- Current HPI
- 307.9862
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+173.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $305,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-24 Sold (MLS) $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-02-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-01-22 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $3,332 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…