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92 Newman Rd
D Composite 40.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$300,000

92 Newman Rd · Cashtown, PA 17353
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,316 sqft · Other public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1978 0.69 ac lot $228/sqft · 29% above area Est $341k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Split foyer home
  • Spacious deck

Tags

SPLIT FOYER HOMESERENE RURAL SETTINGWELL-DESIGNED KITCHENHOT TUBSPACIOUS DECKSIDE-ENTRY GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Side-entry attached garage (1 garage space); Driveway with space for 4 vehicles; Total of 5 garage/parking spaces; Off-street parking available
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic
  • Home design: Detached property; Walkout-level finished lower level
  • Construction: Brick, stick-built, and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Built year estimated
  • Exterior features: Deck(s); Hot tub; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Single oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Combination dining and living areas; Combination kitchen and dining; Dining area; Breakfast area; Wood stove; Ceiling fans; Storm door(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-747 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (44.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (48.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (48.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,329 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A-, cost of living A-, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Twp El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 369 students, 45% FRL); Gettysburg Area Ms (math 28% / reading 60%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 682 students, 43% FRL); Gettysburg Area Hs (math 80% / reading 24%, grade C-, #112 of 437 statewide, top 26%, 1,024 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $109k; list at $300k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $155,615 (48.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
3.31%
Cash-on-cash
-10.67%
DSCR
0.53
GRM
16.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$340,916
List price
$300,000
Delta
-10.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$115,803
Equity at exit
$270,264
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$378,340
Equity at exit
$582,834

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17353

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
16.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,332/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$-747

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,501
Max offer price $168,117
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-577 -5% $-662 +0% $-747 +5% $-831 +10% $-916
Rent -10% $-869 -5% $-808 +0% $-747 +5% $-685 +10% $-624
Rate -1.0pp $-595 -0.5pp $-670 base $-747 +0.5pp $-824 +1.0pp $-903

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    price $300,000 1978-char remark
  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $30,000 Active 1978-char remark
  3. 2026-05-20
    historical
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $305,000
  5. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2026-01-23
    price $315,000
  8. 2026-01-09
    listed $325,000 Active
  9. 2002-04-25
    soldstatus $109,000
  10. 2002-04-24
    soldstatus $109,000
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |

  11. 2002-02-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |

  12. 2001-01-22
    listed $109,900
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL MOUNTAIN VIEWS. KITCHEN CABINETS REFINISHED. FLOOR, COUNTER TOP & FRENCH DOOR ARE NEW. REAR DECK & HOT TUB ARE 1 YEAR OLD. NEW CARPET, NEW BATHROOM. FLAGSTONE WALL IN FM RM FOR PELLET STOVE (HEAT COSTS REFLECT PELLET STOVE). LAUNDRY RM, 1 CAR GARAGE, .69 ACRE NICELY LANDSCAPED LOT W/ MULTI-TIERED FRONT DECK. SELLER WILL HELP WITH CLOSING COSTS. |

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,332 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,036 · $336/mo
Expected delta
+$704/yr (+$59/mo · 21.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,674
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,332
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,494
− Management
−$1,494
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$14,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,523
After-tax cash flow
$-5,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gettysburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4210710
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$58,451
Composite
46.03/100
National rank
#2526
State rank
#132 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cashtown

Score
62/100
State rank
#1329
US rank
#16387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,745

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,494 people
By 2030
101,890 · -0.6%
By 2040
98,417 · -4.0%
By 2050
92,014 · -10.2%
By 2075
76,128 · -25.7%
By 2100
58,931 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.28%
Current HPI
307.9862
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $305,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-24 Sold (MLS) $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-02-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-01-22 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,332 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…