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201 Union Ave SE #111
B+ Composite 79.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

201 Union Ave SE #111 · Renton, WA 98059
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 76 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition $85/sqft · 15% below area Est $135k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to the fabulous 55+ community of Leisure Estates located in the desirable Renton Highlands! Enjoy this beautifully maintained, 1344 square foot home located on a large corner lot! Recent updates include a new roof in 2024, several updated appliances, and luxury vinyl plank flooring! Great floorplan offers both a formal living room with dining area as well as a family room adjacent to the large kitchen. In the kitchen, find ample counter space and cabinets ready for a cooking endeavors or entertaining! The kitchen also provides a large breakfast bar, perfect for an informal meal! From the family room, a large, light-filled sliding door exits to an immaculate covered patio ready

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • Large corner lot
  • Family room

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTNEW ROOFUPDATED APPLIANCESLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGFORMAL LIVING ROOMFAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 2.3% in Renton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#52 in WA, #949 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Renton School District (urban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 291 in WA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 255 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $115k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $108,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
18.80%
Cash-on-cash
44.65%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,965
List price
$114,900
Delta
-14.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Union Ave SE #249 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 4mo $185,500 $138 97
201 Union Ave SE #155 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 1mo $175,000 $140 87
201 Union Ave SE #112 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,339 (-0%) 2mo $86,000 $64 87
201 Union Ave SE #247 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 6mo $175,000 $130 85
201 Union Ave SE #74 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 5mo $181,500 $126 84
375 Union Ave SE #136 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 0mo $192,448 $143 83
201 Union Ave SE #217 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 2mo $110,000 $88 76
201 Union Ave SE #157 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 8mo $140,000 $97 76
375 Union Ave SE #61 0.38mi 2/2.0 1,300 (-3%) 4mo $180,000 $138 73
201 Union Ave SE #147 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+14%) 2mo $100,000 $65 66
201 Union Ave SE #128 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,536 (+14%) 8mo $75,000 $49 61
201 Union Ave SE #58 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+14%) 9mo $130,000 $85 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$50,976
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$116,715
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98059

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,521 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$1,197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,277 -5% $1,237 +0% $1,197 +5% $1,157 +10% $1,118
Rent -10% $998 -5% $1,098 +0% $1,197 +5% $1,297 +10% $1,396
Rate -1.0pp $1,255 -0.5pp $1,226 base $1,197 +0.5pp $1,167 +1.0pp $1,137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3815 NE 4th St Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 666 $1,999 $3.00 0d 23 0.25mi
4214 SE 1st Pl Renton, WA 3.0 1.0 950 $2,950 $3.11 25d 1 0.26mi
4231 NE 5th St Unit D203 Renton, WA 2.0 2.0 1025 $2,200 $2.15 12d 1 0.51mi
4319 NE 5th Ct #106 Renton, WA 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,250 $2.06 0d 1 0.61mi
4310 NE 5th Ct #104 Renton, WA 1.0 1.0 920 $2,150 $2.34 0d 1 0.62mi
4415 NE 5th St Renton, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $2,370 $2.57 0d 10 0.63mi
650 Duvall Ave NE Renton, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1020 $2,454 $2.40 0d 13 0.84mi
3507 NE 8th St Renton, WA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,650 $2.76 19d 1 0.86mi
5027 NE 5th Pl Renton, WA 3.0 2.5 1287 $3,300 $2.56 25d 1 0.88mi
2511 NE 4th St Renton, WA 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,900 $1.88 4d 1 0.89mi
2307 NE 4th St Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 740 $2,207 $2.98 0d 11 0.94mi
2904 SE 8th St #2128 Renton, WA 2.0 2.0 1046 $2,350 $2.25 0d 1 0.95mi
5415 NE 4th St Renton, WA 2.0 2.0 1810 $2,650 $1.46 45d 1 1.01mi
14051 145th Ave SE Renton, WA 3.0 2.0 1548 $3,050 $1.97 0d 1 1.08mi
950 Harrington Ave NE Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $2,854 $3.24 0d 9 1.15mi
270 Bronson Way NE Unit The Hampton H22 Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 45d 1 1.16mi
15205 140th Way SE Renton, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $2,918 $2.60 0d 10 1.21mi
1064 Kirkland Ave NE Unit 101 Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 975 $1,850 $1.90 0d 1 1.26mi
1064 Kirkland Ave NE Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 827 $1,850 $2.24 0d 1 1.26mi
2715 Sunset Ln NE Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 922 $3,131 $3.39 0d 7 1.27mi
2227 SE 8th Pl Renton, WA 3.0 2.0 1560 $3,650 $2.34 5d 1 1.29mi
3109 NE 11th Pl Unit 3109D Renton, WA 2.0 1.5 1186 $2,525 $2.13 5d 1 1.32mi
2100 NE 6th Pl Renton, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,650 $2.65 45d 1 1.34mi
2950 NE 11th St Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1050 $3,937 $3.75 0d 16 1.35mi
1201 Anacortes Ave NE Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 908 $2,095 $2.31 4d 2 1.36mi
1930 NE 7th Ct Renton, WA 3.0 2.5 1742 $3,450 $1.98 0d 1 1.44mi
825 Sunset Blvd NE Unit B-1 Renton, WA 2.0 2.5 1150 $2,650 $2.30 14d 1 1.47mi
4400 NE Sunset Blvd Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,275 $2.39 0d 3 1.48mi
1150 Sunset Blvd NE Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,795 $2.36 4d 2 1.49mi
1150 Sunset Blvd NE Renton, WA 2.0 1.0 891 $1,858 $2.08 21d 2 1.49mi
1150 Sunset Blvd NE Renton, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $1,920 $2.52 11d 4 1.49mi
1177 Harrington Ave NE Renton, WA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,975 $2.08 6d 1 1.49mi
1177 Harrington Ave NE Unit 305 Renton, WA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,975 $2.08 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $114,900 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $114,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-04-06
    listed $119,900 Active
  17. 2005-11-10
    soldstatus $60,000
  18. 2005-09-26
    listed $62,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,246
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,724
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,420
− Management
−$2,420
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$13,330
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,199
After-tax cash flow
$11,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, 1344 square foot manufactured home in Leisure Estates offers a good condition with recent updates and a good curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace sliding glass doors — improves functionality and resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace sliding glass doors — improves functionality and resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Renton School District
NCES district ID
5307230
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,354
Composite
47.13/100
National rank
#5108
State rank
#119 of 291 in WA

Livability — Renton

Score
83/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#949

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Renton, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
158,600
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
42,406
Household income
$138,654
Rent vs Own
23.4% rent · 76.6% own
Severe rent burden
908.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Asian 29% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
23% · China, Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Chinese 9% Vietnamese 6% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -920.66%
Current HPI
338.4495
Rent YoY
▲ 0.29%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $119,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-10 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-26 Listed $62,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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