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9822 Treadway Ln
C+ Composite 62.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

9822 Treadway Ln · Edmundson, MO 63134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1960 6,272 sqft lot Est $154k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Turnkey investment opportunity at 9822 Treadway Lane in St. Louis! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offers 1,008 sq ft of living space and is currently tenant occupied at $1,260/month, providing immediate cash flow for investors. Built in 1960, the property features central cooling, covered carport parking, and sits on a 6,272 sq ft lot. The functional floor plan, low-maintenance layout, and strong rental demand in the area make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, schools, and everyday amenities, this property offers easy access for tenants and long-term rental appeal. Whether you're a seasoned

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Easy access
  • Central cooling

Tags

TURNKEY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYCENTRAL COOLINGCOVERED CARPORT PARKINGSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Built around public records year (assessor source)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#353 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kratz Elem. (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 538 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $130k implies a 253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $128,050 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.64%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,224
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4426 Treadway Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 1mo $114,900 $114 96
4411 Edmundson Rd 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+10%) 1mo $130,000 $118 74
9513 Margo Ann Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 7mo $165,000 $164 71
4423 Dabney Dr 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+14%) 4mo $109,900 $95 68
9716 Margo Ann Ln 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,111 (+10%) 1mo $135,000 $122 67
3959 Sims Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+3%) 11mo $159,000 $153 66
9832 Guthrie Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+4%) 7mo $119,900 $114 62
4332 Saint Leo Ln 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,068 (+6%) 2mo $170,000 $159 62
3937 Wright Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,082 (+7%) 6mo $195,000 $180 60
9406 Bataan Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,037 (+3%) 3mo $175,000 $169 58
4224 Ashby Rd 0.72mi 2/1.5 (-1) 900 (-11%) 1mo $172,500 $192 41
9448 Harold Dr 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-14%) 2mo $120,000 $139 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,300
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,314
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63134

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,383 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,130/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,051
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $336 -5% $299 +0% $262 +5% $225 +10% $189
Rent -10% $153 -5% $208 +0% $262 +5% $317 +10% $371
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $295 base $262 +0.5pp $228 +1.0pp $194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 18d 1 0.14mi
3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 15d 1 0.40mi
10145 Cabana Club Dr St Ann, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 776 $1,060 $1.37 44d 8 0.43mi
4616 Country Ln St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 758 $1,505 $1.99 3d 9 0.46mi
9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,700 $1.59 24d 1 0.46mi
4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1299 $1,690 $1.30 44d 1 0.48mi
10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,100 $1.26 24d 1 0.54mi
9457 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1472 $1,530 $1.04 22d 1 0.73mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 44d 1 0.76mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 4d 1 0.76mi
9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,495 $1.73 44d 1 0.77mi
4400 Gordon Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 5d 1 0.79mi
10742 Tropic Dr Unit VACANT St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 44d 1 0.93mi
3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 44d 1 0.93mi
9969 Sloane Sq Unit 9969C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 761 $895 $1.18 5d 1 0.98mi
11276 Liana Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,189 $1.52 5d 1 1.00mi
10788 Tropic Dr Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 828 $1,260 $1.52 44d 1 1.04mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 21d 1 1.05mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 24d 1 1.05mi
9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 44d 1 1.07mi
3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.5 988 $1,545 $1.56 44d 1 1.13mi
10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 734 $1,200 $1.63 44d 1 1.23mi
10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,865 $1.90 18d 1 1.24mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 44d 1 1.28mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 44d 1 1.28mi
3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,095 $1.38 22d 1 1.41mi
3213 Airway Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,550 $1.28 44d 1 1.43mi
3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-03
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,130 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,261 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$131/yr (+$11/mo · 11.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,591
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,130
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,327
− Management
−$1,327
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$262
After-tax cash flow
$2,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — Edmundson

Score
63/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#15711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edmundson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
13,059
Household income
$44,680
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.02%
Current HPI
226.9524
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $36,842 Public Records
  • 2002-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,130 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…