2822 Baltimore Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 4bedroom home in a desirable, established neighborhood. This property features a new roof and gutters, a large yard, and an efficient layout with a primary bedroom offering a private half bath. Owned by the same family since it was built, the home has great bones and is priced right for today's market. Sold AsIs, making it an excellent opportunity for a firsttime buyer or anyone looking to add value with personal updates.
Key facts
- 6,316 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,517/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2340% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.46%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,148
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -13.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2738 Schofield Ave | 0.21mi | 4/1.0 | 1,205 (+5%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $141 | 78 |
| 2753 Sangster Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-5%) | 3mo | $162,000 | $149 | 76 |
| 2848 Schofield Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,102 (-4%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $65 | 76 |
| 2358 Hovey St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 | 1,152 (+0%) | 3mo | $151,000 | $131 | 70 |
| 2933 Caroline Ave | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 | 1,272 (+11%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $79 | 70 |
| 2745 Caroline Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,272 (+11%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $153 | 69 |
| 2808 Sangster Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-10%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $97 | 67 |
| 2931 Sangster Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-7%) | 6mo | $117,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 3263 Schofield Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,194 (+4%) | 2mo | $73,600 | $62 | 60 |
| 2740 N Rural St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,082 (-6%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 2951 Hillside Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 980 (-15%) | 3mo | $156,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 2520 Hillside Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,306 (+14%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $134 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-11,411
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-6,888
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $259 | -5% $224 | +0% $188 | +5% $153 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $128 | +0% $188 | +5% $248 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $251 | -0.5pp $220 | base $188 | +0.5pp $156 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2820 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2616 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3121 Baltimore Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $7,865 | $6.38 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2372 Beckwith Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 779 | $1,349 | $1.73 | 2d | 32 | 0.46mi |
| 2757 Columbia Ave Unit 2757-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3207 N Arsenal Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2553 Columbia Ave Unit 2553-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,525 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2549 Columbia Ave Unit 1332865P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $2,274 | $2.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2950 Winthrop Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,449 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2340 Columbia Ave Unit 2340-B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3139 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,345 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3110 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2203 Sheldon St Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2751 Guilford Ave Unit Aunit Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2751 Guilford Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2711 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3448 Hillside Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1902 E 35th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2906 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $950 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3532 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1177 | $2,299 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2827 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,512 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2707 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2709 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2519 N College Ave Unit 1 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2410 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3106 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2161 Bellefontaine St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1346 | $1,900 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3449 E 26th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,512 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3451 E 26th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3476 Birchwood Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,625 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2960 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2960 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2958 N Park Ave Unit 2958 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 728 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1491 | $1,400 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 728 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1491 | $1,400 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2168 Carrollton Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,799 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3141 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3541 Birchwood Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,549 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-15$124,900 Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Solid 4bedroom home in a desirable, established neighborhood. This property features a new roof and gutters, a large yard, and an efficient layout with a primary bedroom offering a private half bath. Owned by the same family since it was built, the home has great bones and is priced right for today's market. Sold AsIs, making it an excellent opportunity for a firsttime buyer or anyone looking to add value with personal updates.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,639 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,639 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,639
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $124,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,639 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…