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2909 Chimborazo Way
F Composite 33.58
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.2/15.0

$400,000

2909 Chimborazo Way · Wildwood, FL 32163
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,535 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 2022 5,755 sqft lot Est $344k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. * * TURNKEY * * LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! * * Nestled in the highly desirable VILLAGE OF RICHMOND, this nearly new 3-bedroom, 2-bath “Sequoia” (Loblolly) model (built in 2022) is just ½ mile from Brownwood Paddock Square — close to shopping, dining, and the New in ‘25 Harry & The Natives Restaurant! This lovely home features classic block-and-stucco construction, a spacious 2-car garage, and a bright, open-concept floor plan connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas — perfect for entertaining. PROFESSIONALLY DECORATED with modern & stunning furnishings and decor are sure to please and are

Key facts

  • 5,755 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.13 acres; Paved road access
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Tennis courts; Dog park; Golf; Golf carts allowed; Irrigation with reclaimed water; Deed restrictions; Association fees include pool; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with space for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Underground utilities; Sprinkler recycled
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Residential zoning; Homestead exempt; Located in a CDD
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as SEQUOIA model
  • Exterior features: Sliding doors; Sprinkler system (metered)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-613 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (27.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (31.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $275k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,215 (31.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.45%
Cash-on-cash
-6.57%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$343,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2909 Chimborazo Way 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,535 (0%) 0mo $400,000 $261 100
4280 Canova Draney Loop 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,519 (-1%) 2mo $340,000 $224 70
2775 Navy Hill Cir 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,476 (-4%) 13mo $420,000 $285 70
4371 Shannon Loop 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,557 (+1%) 7mo $390,000 $250 69
4414 Cameo Cir 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,547 (+1%) 12mo $339,000 $219 67
4280 Gale Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 1mo $322,000 $224 64
5585 Hancock Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,494 (-3%) 16mo $200,000 $134 56
5212 Oxford Ct 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,501 (-2%) 17mo $255,000 $170 55
3233 Rayma Pl 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-2%) 17mo $387,000 $259 53
5514 Columbus Cir 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 22mo $135,000 $94 43
3234 Miller Stachler St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-9%) 21mo $380,000 $273 37
5598 Hancock Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-12%) 21mo $152,000 $113 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$178,854
Equity at exit
$360,352
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.98×
Total profit
$557,516
Equity at exit
$777,112

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32163

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,752 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$523 /mo · $6,277/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$-613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,528
Max offer price $291,683
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-387 -5% $-500 +0% $-613 +5% $-726 +10% $-840
Rent -10% $-831 -5% $-722 +0% $-613 +5% $-504 +10% $-396
Rate -1.0pp $-412 -0.5pp $-511 base $-613 +0.5pp $-717 +1.0pp $-822

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2910 Monument Way The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1494 $2,600 $1.74 23d 1 0.17mi
3359 Brianna Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1584 $3,100 $1.96 23d 1 0.80mi
3412 Melissa Ln The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $2,200 $1.92 23d 1 0.88mi
3480 Kewadin Ave The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1758 $2,500 $1.42 23d 1 1.12mi
2577 Lindewood St The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1206 $2,495 $2.07 23d 1 1.21mi
6629 Dan DiCiolla Dr Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1075 $2,399 $2.23 23d 44 1.38mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $400,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-13
    listed $400,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,277 · $523/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,277 · $523/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,026
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$6,277
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,642
− Management
−$2,642
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$14,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,499
After-tax cash flow
$-3,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,549
Household income
$96,775
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.47%
Current HPI
229.0075
Rent YoY
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+173.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,277 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…