606 E Yucca Dr · Hobbs, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN READY! New carpet, paint, light fixtures and remodeled bathroom. Shop/garage located in back yard attached to house.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Large carport
- 8,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one covered parking space (1 total parking space)
- Home design: Single-family residential home
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 8,000 square feet
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No permanent heating system
- Interior features: Other appliances included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#37 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Hobbs Municipal Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #45 of 95 in NM (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.38%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,374
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- 57.01%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,291
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $42,094
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88240
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $609 | -5% $555 | +0% $502 | +5% $448 | +10% $395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $334 | -5% $418 | +0% $502 | +5% $586 | +10% $670 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $597 | -0.5pp $550 | base $502 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 E Alto Dr Hobbs, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $2,400 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1107 E La Brea Ave Hobbs, NM | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $3,200 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $189,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $205,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $205,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$205,000 Active 881-char remark
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2019-05-14soldstatus 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
MOVE IN READY! New carpet, paint, light fixtures and remodeled bathroom. Shop/garage located in back yard attached to house.
-
2019-03-12$137,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
MOVE IN READY! New carpet, paint, light fixtures and remodeled bathroom. Shop/garage located in back yard attached to house.
-
2007-05-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,312 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,512 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 15.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$1,312
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,043
- − Management
- −$2,043
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $3,107
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$746
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hobbs Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3501260
- Math proficiency
- 17% —
- Reading proficiency
- 31% —
- Median HH income
- $52,575
- Composite
- 24.53/100
- National rank
- #13068
- State rank
- #45 of 95 in NM
Livability — Hobbs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #11817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobbs, NM
- County
- Lea County · 41,557 people
- City population
- 41,557
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,557
- Household income
- $63,270
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 968.0
Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,268 people
- By 2030
- 91,695 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 108,366 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 126,264 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 170,606 · +102.5%
- By 2100
- 199,235 · +136.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 32% White 29% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 41% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lea
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.71%
- Current HPI
- 100.9905
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+38.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $189,000 NMMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $205,000 NMMLS
- 2019-05-14 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2019-03-12 Listed $137,000 NMMLS
- 2007-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,312 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…