1506 S Joe Wright Dr · Cordele, GA 31015

$99,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market

Built 2005 4,792 sqft lot Est $100k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.7/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +8.0/15.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity. Add this income producing property to your portfolio today. Contact your Realtor for more information.

Key facts

• 4,792 sq ft lot
• Built 2005
• Listed 43 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.1% in Cordele — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#556 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Crisp County (rural): math 20% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 174 in GA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 21 units permitted in Crisp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Crisp County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $99k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.61%
• DSCR: 1.69
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $100,224
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
705 E 21 Ave	0.34mi	3/1.0	1,224 (+6%)	6mo	$152,000	$124	65
316 E 18th Ave	0.55mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,206 (+5%)	3mo	$105,000	$87	55
306 E 25th Ave	0.55mi	3/1.0	1,125 (-2%)	19mo	$52,050	$46	50
202 W 28th Ave	0.34mi	3/1.0	1,050 (-9%)	19mo	$99,000	$94	50
404 E 27th Ave	0.65mi	3/1.0	1,170 (+2%)	24mo	$65,000	$56	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $6,911
• Equity at exit: $14,761

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.28×
• Total profit: $35,530
• Equity at exit: $8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31015

• Home prices YoY: -24.1%
• Active inventory: 173
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,251 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax from tax record: −$67 /mo · $805/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $794

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $417	-5% $389	+0% $361	+5% $333	+10% $305
Rent	-10% $262	-5% $311	+0% $361	+5% $410	+10% $459
Rate	-1.0pp $410	-0.5pp $386	base $361	+0.5pp $335	+1.0pp $309

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1516 S Pecan St Cordele, GA	2.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	910	$1,075	$1.18	22d	1	1.26mi
1506 S Pecan St Cordele, GA	2.0–3.0	2.5	1350	$1,415	$1.05	22d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-03-25
   status Pending
2. 2024-02-20
   listed $99,000 Active
3. 2008-07-01
   soldstatus $30,000
4. 2008-02-01
   soldstatus $56,664

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $805 · $67/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $911 · $76/mo
• Expected delta: +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 13.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,009
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$805
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,201
• − Management: −$1,201
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $2,883
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$692
• After-tax cash flow: $3,636/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Crisp County
• NCES district ID: 1301560
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $32,681
• Composite: 16.68/100
• National rank: #9168
• State rank: #143 of 174 in GA

Livability — Cordele

• Score: 53/100
• State rank: #556
• US rank: #24483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cordele, GA
• Population (ZIP): 18,615

Population outlook (Crisp County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 21,484 people
• By 2030: 20,594 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 18,691 · -13.0%
• By 2050: 16,769 · -21.9%
• By 2075: 12,329 · -42.6%
• By 2100: 8,591 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 48% White 47% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Crisp

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.9% · R 62.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -25.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -57.99%
• Current HPI: 182.3676
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+74.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-25 Pending — SWGABOR
• 2024-02-20 Listed $99,000 SWGABOR
• 2008-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
• 2008-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,664 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $805 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.