269 High St · Fort Gay, WV
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors take notice of this one story home built in 2003 sitting on a large double lot located in the heart of Fort Gay. This 2-bedroom home with an open floor plan is perfect for an investor as it is currently rented, or perfect for a first-time homebuyer! It has a 50-year metal roof that was put on when it was built. There used to be a mobile home located behind the house. There is still utility access there if you wanted to put in another house. With some paint and a little bit of clean up you could have a really nice home!
Key facts
- Utility access
- One story home
- 50 year metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($862 rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#302 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.67%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,318
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- 25.22%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Ringtail Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 912 (+6%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $159 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $22,555
- Equity at exit
- $28,128
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.63×
- Total profit
- $59,009
- Equity at exit
- $45,014
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25514
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $862 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $58,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $58,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $58,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $58,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $58,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $58,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $58,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $58,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $58,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $58,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $58,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $58,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $58,000 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Investors take notice of this one story home built in 2003 sitting on a large double lot located in the heart of Fort Gay. This 2-bedroom home with an open floor plan is perfect for an investor as it is currently rented, or perfect for a first-time homebuyer! It has a 50-year metal roof that was put on when it was built. There used to be a mobile home located behind the house. There is still utility access there if you wanted to put in another house. With some paint and a little bit of clean up you could have a really nice home!
-
2026-04-02price $58,000 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Investors take notice of this one story home built in 2003 sitting on a large double lot located in the heart of Fort Gay. This 2-bedroom home with an open floor plan is perfect for an investor as it is currently rented, or perfect for a first-time homebuyer! It has a 50-year metal roof that was put on when it was built. There used to be a mobile home located behind the house. There is still utility access there if you wanted to put in another house. With some paint and a little bit of clean up you could have a really nice home!
-
2026-02-25$62,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Investors take notice of this one story home built in 2003 sitting on a large double lot located in the heart of Fort Gay. This 2-bedroom home with an open floor plan is perfect for an investor as it is currently rented, or perfect for a first-time homebuyer! It has a 50-year metal roof that was put on when it was built. There used to be a mobile home located behind the house. There is still utility access there if you wanted to put in another house. With some paint and a little bit of clean up you could have a really nice home!
-
2026-02-25$62,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Investors take notice of this one story home built in 2003 sitting on a large double lot located in the heart of Fort Gay. This 2-bedroom home with an open floor plan is perfect for an investor as it is currently rented, or perfect for a first-time homebuyer! It has a 50-year metal roof that was put on when it was built. There used to be a mobile home located behind the house. There is still utility access there if you wanted to put in another house. With some paint and a little bit of clean up you could have a really nice home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$1,088
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$827
- − Management
- −$827
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $1,791
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$430
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home requires moderate renovations, including painting, flooring, and kitchen and bathroom updates, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Worn paint in living room and bedrooms
- Major Flooring — Worn carpet in living room and bedrooms
- Major Kitchen appliances — Dirty and outdated appliances
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Dirty sink and outdated fixtures
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown yard and lack of landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and flooring — Fresh paint and new flooring would significantly improve the home's appearance and value
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances would improve the home's functionality and appeal
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading to modern fixtures would improve the home's functionality and appeal
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping and yard maintenance would improve the home's curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Worn paint in living room and bedrooms | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn carpet in living room and bedrooms | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen appliances · Dirty and outdated appliances | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dirty sink and outdated fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown yard and lack of landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint and flooring — Fresh paint and new flooring would significantly improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern appliances would improve the home's functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading to modern fixtures would improve the home's functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping and yard maintenance would improve the home's curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401500
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,283
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7297
- State rank
- #25 of 55 in WV
Livability — Fort Gay
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #24443
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Gay, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,841
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,267 people
- By 2030
- 36,578 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · -13.7%
- By 2050
- 29,671 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 22,901 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 17,421 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.62%
- Current HPI
- 135.5736
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $58,000 KVBOR
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $58,000 HBRMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $62,000 HBRMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $62,000 KVBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…