5101 F St SE · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Alert!!! 3-story cinder-block corner property with 2 driveways from both streets! Needs a full rehab. Will not qualify for conventional loans. Doors and windows are boarded up. Will need to sign a "hold harmless" agreement if desire to enter.
Key facts
- 4,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Finished above-grade area per assessor
- Construction: Concrete construction; Other foundation type; Above-grade and below-grade other structures; Finished above-grade area (per assessor); Unfinished below-grade area (per assessor)
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the lower level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on upper level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
- Interior features: Connecting stairway to basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $885 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $209k).
- Recommended offer: $206k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,948/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 5115% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.14%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $327,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5500 SE D St SE | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (+3%) | 9mo | $256,000 | $188 | 68 |
| 5231 Bass Pl SE | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,428 (+8%) | 3mo | $485,000 | $340 | 63 |
| 4617 Heath St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+7%) | 9mo | $320,000 | $227 | 60 |
| 1011 Balboa | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-13%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 5220 Blaine St NE | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (-2%) | 2mo | $387,500 | $300 | 58 |
| 1005 Capitol Heights Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,320 (0%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $322 | 55 |
| 1013 Kayak Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 2mo | $245,500 | $170 | 52 |
| 4814 Gunther St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-12%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $276 | 49 |
| 1135 46th St SE | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-12%) | 6mo | $370,000 | $319 | 47 |
| 607 Larchmont Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+13%) | 6mo | $308,900 | $208 | 46 |
| 709 Opus Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-8%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $248 | 45 |
| 4935 Gunther St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (+10%) | 14mo | $345,000 | $238 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $31,890
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $141,400
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20019
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,948 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$261 /mo · $3,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$619
- Net cashflow
- $885
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5119 E St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $4,000 | $4.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5126 Call Pl SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1741 | $3,050 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $3,200 | $3.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5037 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $3,100 | $2.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5401 Call Pl SE Washington, DC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $2,626 | $2.40 | 1d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 4648 Hillside Rd SE Apt 1 Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $4,200 | $3.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5344 C St SE Unit 302 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5344 C St SE Unit 102 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,499 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4632 Hillside Rd SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $3,000 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 912 Elfin Ave Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,000 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1201 Benning Rd Capitol Heights, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $2,090 | $2.45 | 1d | 36 | 0.44mi |
| 5020 Astor Pl SE Apt 3 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,250 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4932 A St SE #302 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $2,495 | $2.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5074 Central Ave SE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $5,200 | $3.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5532 B St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,800 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4686 A St SE Washington, DC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1181 | $3,500 | $2.96 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5539 Central Ave SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,300 | $2.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 113 56th St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $3,000 | $1.70 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5032 E Capitol St NE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1775 | $2,950 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1205 Mentor Ave Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 813 Hilltop Ter SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1660 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 812 Burns St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $3,300 | $2.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4427 A St SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,900 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5347 Ames St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $3,000 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4615 Central Ave NE Unit B Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4318 G St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1376 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4805 Texas Ave SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,400 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4724 Blaine St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $3,085 | $2.68 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 22 Chamber Ave Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $3,000 | $3.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5401 Riba Ct Capitol Heights, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1150 | $3,300 | $2.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1513 Pacific Ave Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,450 | $2.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5404 Vergo Rd Capitol Heights, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4601 Pistachio Ln Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1376 | $2,795 | $2.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 337 54th St NE Unit A Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $2,850 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4523 Dix St NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1292 | $3,000 | $2.32 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 225 43rd Rd NE Unit 203 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4930 Eads Pl NE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $2,400 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4110 Ames St NE #14 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4308 Alton St Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 416 Topeka Ave Unit A Capitol Heights, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,800 | $2.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $209,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 251-char remark
-
2026-05-31$229,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$3,135
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,830
- − Management
- −$2,830
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $7,752
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,861
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,380
- Household income
- $58,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5115.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.91%
- Current HPI
- 326.4481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
||
| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+186.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $229,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-11-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-06-25 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-06-25 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $22,880 · +104.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…