CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
84172 Avenue 48
C Composite 58.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

84172 Avenue 48 · Coachella, CA 92201
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,645 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1958 6,970 sqft lot Est $462k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained and versatile property located in the rapidly growing city of Indio. Offering 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms across 1,645 square feet of living space, this home provides both comfort and flexibility for a variety of lifestyles. One of the standout features is the expansive yard, offering endless possibilities. Whether you're a passionate gardener, need space for outdoor projects, recreational use, or are looking to create your own private retreat, this property delivers the room to make it happen. The large lot provides a rare opportunity to truly customize and maximize outdoor living. The home reflects pride of ownership throughout, with care and attention evide

Key facts

  • Expansive yard
  • Large lot
  • 6,970 sq ft lot

Tags

EXPANSIVE YARDLARGE LOTCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SHOPPINGCLOSE PROXIMITY TO DININGCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SCHOOLSCLOSE PROXIMITY TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Lot and square-foot data source: Assessor; Property sold as-is
  • Financial info: Probate listing; Acceptable financing: Conventional, VA, FHA, Cash to new loan, Cash; Short-term rentals allowed; Possession at close of escrow
  • HOA & community: No monthly association fee; Not a gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Other parking available
  • Utilities: Sewer connected and paid; No PUD
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two stories; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Mountain view; No security features listed

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Dining room; Family room; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $381k (4.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $375k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.4% in Coachella — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,230 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,811/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $399k implies a 3890% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $375,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.24%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$462,245
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
84172 Avenue 48 0.00mi 5/2.0 1,645 (0%) 1mo $395,000 $240 100
47727 Phoenix St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,708 (+4%) 4mo $468,000 $274 54
83645 Palomar Ct Ct 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,798 (+9%) 14mo $570,000 $317 46
49071 Sierra St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-13%) 9mo $459,900 $322 38
49235 Summer St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-13%) 3mo $395,000 $277 38
83643 Mccoy Peak Ave 0.55mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,798 (+9%) 22mo $505,000 $281 36
84086 Magnolia St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-13%) 9mo $450,000 $315 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-26,490
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$29,397
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
514
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,811 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,049/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$800
Net cashflow
$581

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,075
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
49115 Mesa Ct Coachella, CA 5.0 2.0 2000 $3,200 $1.60 43d 1 0.74mi
83589 Shadowrock Dr Coachella, CA 4.0 3.0 1679 $4,300 $2.56 43d 1 1.10mi
47519 Margarita St Indio, CA 4.0 3.0 2125 $3,999 $1.88 43d 1 1.18mi
83110 Raven Ln Indio, CA 4.0 3.0 1890 $3,500 $1.85 11d 1 1.23mi
82934 Via Venecia Indio, CA 5.0 3.0 1593 $3,700 $2.32 2d 1 1.27mi
82798 Longfellow Ct Indio, CA 4.0 3.0 2014 $4,500 $2.23 43d 1 1.40mi
50157 Calle Tolosa Coachella, CA 4.0 3.5 1912 $3,414 $1.79 11d 1 1.44mi
83958 Calle Moreno Coachella, CA 4.0 2.0 2000 $3,350 $1.68 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $399,000 Pending 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active Under Contract 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
  6. 2026-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2026-03-19
    listed $399,000 Active
  8. 1976-09-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,049 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,032 · $253/mo
Expected delta
+$983/yr (+$82/mo · 48.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,727
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$2,049
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,658
− Management
−$3,658
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable income
$409
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$98
After-tax cash flow
$6,873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Coachella

Score
47/100
State rank
#1230
US rank
#26216

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime C+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3890.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent GPSMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $399,000 GPSMLS
  • 1976-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,049 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…