10401 N Saguaro Blvd #326 · Fountain Hills, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$294,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover resort-style living in this 2-bedroom, 2-bath condominium located in the sought-after Little Fountain Resort community. Perfect as a lock-and-leave home or a low-maintenance primary residence. The unit offers privacy with no upstairs neighbors and captivates with tranquil desert views, creating a peaceful backdrop from the balcony. Two master suites provide ideal separated living spaces, each with direct access to the balcony to savor the beautiful desert scenery. The thoughtfully designed layout offers easy flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas. Conveniently located for easy access to both downtown Fountain Hills and Scottsdale, residents can enjoy the best of the valley with quick trips to shopping, dining, and cultural attractions.
Key facts
- Generous balcony
- Workout room
- Spa
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size listed from assessor; Building area source: assessor
- HOA & community: Has association; Monthly association fee of $395; Association covers roof repair, insurance, trash, and exterior maintenance; Community amenities include pool, heated community spa, and fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private water company
- Home design: Condominium apartment; Attached property; Desert and mountain views
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Desert front and desert back lot features; Heated spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (including a master bedroom)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full bath in primary bedroom; Laminate counters; Dishwasher
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-391/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $265k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Fountain Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#45 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Fountain Hills Unified District (4247) (other): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #61 of 249 in AZ (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mcdowell Mountain Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #243 of 1,109 statewide, top 23%, 297 students, 32% FRL); Fountain Hills Middle School (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #54 of 218 statewide, top 25%, 390 students, 22% FRL); Fountain Hills High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 381 statewide, top 23%, 466 students, 17% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.47%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-54,768
- Equity at exit
- $43,836
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-70,283
- Equity at exit
- $25,420
Cash invested: $82,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85268
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 448
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,542
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $802/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$395
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$557
- Net cashflow
- $-33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,500
- Closing costs
- $8,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10401 N Saguaro Blvd #220 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10401 N Saguaro Blvd #135 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 991 | $3,300 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10401 N Saguaro Blvd #235 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10401 N Saguaro Blvd #121 Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $2,600 | $3.70 | 17d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 9253 N Firebrick Dr #114 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,950 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17343 E Quail Ridge Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $5,000 | $3.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12005 N Panorama Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,850 | $3.43 | 24d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 111652 N Saguaro Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,299 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12237 N Gambel Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $2,590 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12050 N Panorama Dr #208 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,430 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 16812 E Lamplighter Way #10 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $4,200 | $3.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 16724 E Gunsight Dr #219 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1017 | $2,595 | $2.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16657 E Gunsight Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 865 | $1,645 | $1.90 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 12213 N Chama Dr Unit 2 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,999 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 12213 N Chama Dr Unit 2 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,700 | $2.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 16715 E El Lago Blvd #214 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 16800 E El Lago Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $3,350 | $2.49 | 5d | 2 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $395 · $4,740/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $294,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $294,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $294,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $294,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$299,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $802 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,940 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,138/yr (+$95/mo · 141.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥112°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,469
- − Property taxes
- −$802
- − Insurance
- −$1,470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − HOA
- −$4,740
- − Depreciation
- −$8,553
- Taxable loss
- −$5,321
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,277
- After-tax cash flow
- $886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fountain Hills Unified District (4247)
- NCES district ID
- 0403040
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,038
- Composite
- 36.41/100
- National rank
- #4677
- State rank
- #61 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Fountain Hills
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #8769
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fountain Hills, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 23,849
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,849
- Household income
- $112,795
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 374.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.81%
- Current HPI
- 283.4064
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.03%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+158.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $299,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-21 Sold (MLS) $275,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-17 Pending — ARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $285,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $295,000 ARMLS
- 1998-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $115,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $802 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…