6934 Almeda Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
$635,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
, Additional information: Appearance:Good,Business Located At:,Rental Income:,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Low utility costs
- Low property taxes
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: PSEG electric; Public sewer; Water connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Trash collection (public)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Updated / remodeled condition
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Basement: finished full basement with walk-out access; Attic partially finished with storage
- Exterior features: Vinyl fencing; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining; Open floorplan with open kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom; Storage; Walk-in closets; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer (gas dryer hookup); Washer and dryer listed among appliances; Laundry area in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $635k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-717 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $508k (19.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $396k (37.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $396k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,955/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $68k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $64k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$109k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($597k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $430k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.39%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 13.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $634,880
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6916 Almeda Ave | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 2,176 (+6%) | 5mo | $674,650 | $310 | 84 |
| 6928 Almeda Ave | 0.01mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,176 (+6%) | 9mo | $498,000 | $229 | 77 |
| 6924 Almeda Ave | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,999 (-2%) | 12mo | $600,000 | $300 | 76 |
| 565 Beach 65th St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,008 (-2%) | 9mo | $670,000 | $334 | 66 |
| 568 Beach 65th St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+2%) | 8mo | $537,000 | $256 | 64 |
| 158 Beach 61st St | 0.68mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,052 (+0%) | 6mo | $725,000 | $353 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $299,889
- Equity at exit
- $572,058
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.17×
- Total profit
- $918,492
- Equity at exit
- $1,233,665
Cash invested: $177,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11692
- Home prices YoY
- 14.4%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,955 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,330
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$265
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$831
- Net cashflow
- $-717
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $158,750
- Closing costs
- $19,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6935 Hessler Ave Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 75-18 Aquatic Dr Unit B Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2250 | $3,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1-76 Beach 97th St Unit 3 Rockaway Beach, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $4,000 | $2.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2-27R Beach 99th St Rockaway Park, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2208 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $635,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $635,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $635,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $635,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $635,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $649,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $649,000
-
2026-04-08$699,000 Active
-
2020-03-27status Pending 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Good,Business Located At:,Rental Income:,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2020-03-03soldstatus $430,000
-
2020-02-19soldstatus $430,000 Closed 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Good,Business Located At:,Rental Income:,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2019-12-04status Under Contract 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Good,Business Located At:,Rental Income:,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2019-09-27$450,000 New 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
, Additional information: Appearance:Good,Business Located At:,Rental Income:,Separate Hotwater Heater:Yes
-
2005-10-06soldstatus $285,000
-
2000-02-23soldstatus $170,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,170 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,451 · $538/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,281/yr (+$357/mo · 197.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,570
- − Property taxes
- −$2,170
- − Insurance
- −$3,972
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,797
- − Management
- −$3,797
- − Depreciation
- −$18,473
- Taxable loss
- −$20,314
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,875
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,734
- Household income
- $49,720
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% White 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.49%
- Current HPI
- 354.2007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+281.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $649,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-19 Sold (MLS) $430,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-04 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-27 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,170 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…