2150 Laura St #65 · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single wide mfg home clean and move in ready in 55+ park. This home has a great room floor plan with an adjoining kitchen and living area. Kitchen appliances are included that are all recently installed within the last 3 years. Flooring has been updated and is solid surface throughout. There is a fresh coat of paint on the interior. The exterior has a yard space, attached storage room and detached tool shed. The carport can fit two cars parked end to end. Space rent can be assigned to the new owner and will be $827 per month. Home only is being sold, new owner will need to be approved by the park prior to purchase. RV space available for rent though the park.
Key facts
- Fresh coat of paint
- Updated flooring
- Yard space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $50k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.15%
- DSCR
- 4.39
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,000
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- 8.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2150 Laura St #65 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 734 (+1%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $63 | 98 |
| 2150 Laura St #12 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+3%) | 10mo | $22,000 | $29 | 86 |
| 2150 Laura St #91 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-1%) | 15mo | $18,000 | $25 | 86 |
| 2150 Laura St #90 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-0%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $48 | 82 |
| 2150 Laura St #13 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-9%) | 12mo | $18,500 | $28 | 74 |
| 2150 Laura St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 641 (-12%) | 19mo | $14,100 | $22 | 63 |
| 1120 W Fairview Dr #7 | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 728 (0%) | 10mo | $53,500 | $73 | 60 |
| 1120 W Fairview Dr #10 | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+8%) | 11mo | $80,500 | $103 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $51,239
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 82.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.27×
- Total profit
- $129,481
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97477
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $504/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $887
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460 Lindale Dr Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,839 | $2.39 | 13d | 9 | 0.20mi |
| 243 R St Springfield, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 867 | $1,649 | $1.90 | 43d | 6 | 0.47mi |
| 2555 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,649 | $2.42 | 21d | 14 | 0.61mi |
| 506 W Centennial Blvd Springfield, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1182 | $1,684 | $1.42 | 21d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 1725 N 5th St Unit P-070 Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,395 | $2.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1725 5th St Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,495 | $2.12 | 13d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 3033 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,700 | $2.27 | 13d | 15 | 0.85mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3255 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,535 | $2.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 650 Mill St Unit 18 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 243 F St Unit 20 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 275 S Garden Way Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 467 | $1,479 | $3.17 | 13d | 22 | 1.18mi |
| 745 6th St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,295 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 608 4th St Unit 1 Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 448 | $1,499 | $3.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 406 4th St Unit 04 Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 463 | $950 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Single wide mfg home clean and move in ready in 55+ park. This home has a great room floor plan with an adjoining kitchen and living area. Kitchen appliances are included that are all recently installed within the last 3 years. Flooring has been updated and is solid surface throughout. There is a fresh coat of paint on the interior. The exterior has a yard space, attached storage room and detached tool shed. The carport can fit two cars parked end to end. Space rent can be assigned to the new owner and will be $827 per month. Home only is being sold, new owner will need to be approved by the park prior to purchase. RV space available for rent though the park.
-
2026-04-03$49,900 Active 667-char remark
Show marketing remark (667 chars)
Single wide mfg home clean and move in ready in 55+ park. This home has a great room floor plan with an adjoining kitchen and living area. Kitchen appliances are included that are all recently installed within the last 3 years. Flooring has been updated and is solid surface throughout. There is a fresh coat of paint on the interior. The exterior has a yard space, attached storage room and detached tool shed. The carport can fit two cars parked end to end. Space rent can be assigned to the new owner and will be $827 per month. Home only is being sold, new owner will need to be approved by the park prior to purchase. RV space available for rent though the park.
-
2015-02-25soldstatus $29,000 Sold 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move in ready!!! Very nice newer home with vinyl windows and heat pump. Vaulted living room, remodeled bathroom with walk in shower and raised toilet. Kitchen includes all newer appliances and nice eating area, table, chairs, & bar stools are included. Stacking washer and dryer also stays. Very well kept park with creek running through, lots of ducks, a great place for walks! Carport and storage shed. Centrally located with easy access
-
2015-02-23status Pending 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move in ready!!! Very nice newer home with vinyl windows and heat pump. Vaulted living room, remodeled bathroom with walk in shower and raised toilet. Kitchen includes all newer appliances and nice eating area, table, chairs, & bar stools are included. Stacking washer and dryer also stays. Very well kept park with creek running through, lots of ducks, a great place for walks! Carport and storage shed. Centrally located with easy access
-
2015-02-23historical Active with Bumpable Contingency 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move in ready!!! Very nice newer home with vinyl windows and heat pump. Vaulted living room, remodeled bathroom with walk in shower and raised toilet. Kitchen includes all newer appliances and nice eating area, table, chairs, & bar stools are included. Stacking washer and dryer also stays. Very well kept park with creek running through, lots of ducks, a great place for walks! Carport and storage shed. Centrally located with easy access
-
2015-01-27$34,000 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move in ready!!! Very nice newer home with vinyl windows and heat pump. Vaulted living room, remodeled bathroom with walk in shower and raised toilet. Kitchen includes all newer appliances and nice eating area, table, chairs, & bar stools are included. Stacking washer and dryer also stays. Very well kept park with creek running through, lots of ducks, a great place for walks! Carport and storage shed. Centrally located with easy access
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$504
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,472
- − Management
- −$1,472
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $10,453
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,509
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,534
- Household income
- $65,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1817.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.08%
- Current HPI
- 299.6863
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+46.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $49,900 RMLS
- 2015-02-25 Sold (MLS) $29,000 RMLS
- 2015-02-23 Pending — RMLS
- 2015-02-23 Contingent — RMLS
- 2015-01-27 Listed $34,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $504 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…