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1430 18th St
C+ Composite 62.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

1430 18th St · East Moline, IL 61244
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1930 696 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter or investment home! New copper siding, newer windows, newer very large garage.

Key facts

  • Built 1930
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Built 91–100 years ago; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 40 x 170; Less than 0.25 acre lot; Lot features: None listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen on main level (8 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total; Main-level master bedroom (9 x 11); Main-level second bedroom (9 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Recreation room in basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in East Moline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#870 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools F.
  • United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $72k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,920 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.61%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$1,874
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$19,212
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61244

Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$974 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,806/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $706
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1454 18th St East Moline, IL 2.0 1.5 650 $995 $1.53 20d 1 0.02mi
735 20th Ave Unit 3 East Moline, IL 2.0 1.0 690 $790 $1.14 20d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 24-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $72,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,806 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,806 · $150/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,694
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$1,806
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$1,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$367
After-tax cash flow
$2,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
United Twp Hsd 30
NCES district ID
1739870
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,647
Composite
11.91/100
National rank
#9670
State rank
#536 of 620 in IL

Livability — East Moline

Score
62/100
State rank
#870
US rank
#16964

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Moline, IL
County
Rock Island County · 103,822 people
City population
23,308
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
23,308
Household income
$63,819
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,982 people
By 2030
137,705 · -2.3%
By 2040
130,512 · -7.4%
By 2050
123,841 · -12.2%
By 2075
109,851 · -22.1%
By 2100
90,922 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 18% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
English 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, United Kingdom, Philippines
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.05%
Current HPI
154.4012
Rent YoY
Metro
Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+171.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $72,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-22 Sold (MLS) $35,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-22 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-25 Listed $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-25 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
  • 2000-05-24 Sold (MLS) $26,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-02-29 Listed $26,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,806 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…