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3731 Renee Dr
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

3731 Renee Dr · Bismarck, ND 58503
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,680 sqft · Townhouse · 3 Days on market
Built 1980 3,270 sqft lot Est $269k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* AS PER OWNER LOTS OFBLT IN STORAGE-SUPER CLEAN-EXCLUDE SWINGSET, KENNEL, MATCHINGCURTAINS TO BEDSPREADS-SHINGLED '95-NO CONDO FEES. Fenced Yard. Basement - FULL.

Key facts

  • Updated townhouse
  • Tiled backsplash
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

UPDATED TOWNHOUSEMODERN FINISHESUPGRADED APPLIANCESTILED BACKSPLASHUPDATED MAIN BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by BIANCO REALTY, INC.

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Driveway with concrete surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Cable available; Other utilities available
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Three or more levels
  • Construction: Masonite exterior
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Full fenced yard; Irregular lot with dimensions approximately 20 x 20 x 163

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 10 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Window treatments; Finished full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (24.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Bismarck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in ND, #2,213 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Bismarck 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #25 of 53 in ND (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Northridge Elementary School (math 56% / reading 43%, grade D, #65 of 236 statewide, top 37%, 425 students, 31% FRL); Horizon Middle School (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D+, #13 of 35 statewide, top 35%, 1,044 students, 14% FRL); Century High School (math 43% / reading 63%, grade C-, #14 of 144 statewide, top 9%, 1,427 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 486 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 259 units permitted in Burleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burleigh County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $270k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $203,612 (24.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$268,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3806 Montreal St N 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,890 (+12%) 6mo $259,000 $137 70
2976 Ontario Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,735 (+3%) 6mo $245,000 $141 65
3005 Ontario Ln 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,724 (+3%) 6mo $290,000 $168 64
221 Colt Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,830 (+9%) 0mo $550,000 $301 64
432 Brandon Dr E 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,773 (+6%) 8mo $229,900 $130 64
4101 Coleman St #2 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,593 (-5%) 1mo $292,500 $184 63
3333 Montreal St #201 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-8%) 3mo $249,000 $160 60
3305 Montreal St #202 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-8%) 4mo $239,900 $154 58
3333 Montreal St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,553 (-8%) 7mo $242,400 $156 57
2966 Ontario Ln 0.53mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,788 (+6%) 4mo $279,900 $157 53
4115 Normandy St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,906 (+14%) 6mo $345,000 $181 49
3333 Montreal St #305 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,445 (-14%) 7mo $244,900 $169 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-31,689
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$22,647
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58503

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Rents YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
486
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $699/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,008
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $175 -5% $99 +0% $22 +5% $-54 +10% $-130
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-58 +0% $22 +5% $103 +10% $183
Rate -1.0pp $158 -0.5pp $91 base $22 +0.5pp $-48 +1.0pp $-119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4201 Montreal St Bismarck, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1092 $1,886 $1.73 23d 15 0.31mi
4126A Normandy St Bismarck, ND 2.0 1.5 1468 $1,750 $1.19 23d 1 0.39mi
4227 Serenity Ct Bismarck, ND 3.0 2.5 1562 $2,395 $1.53 23d 1 0.45mi
4231 Serenity Ct Bismarck, ND 3.0 2.5 1562 $2,395 $1.53 23d 1 0.45mi
4442 Serenity Ct Bismarck, ND 3.0 2.5 1544 $2,395 $1.55 23d 1 0.49mi
1600 Mapleton Ave Unit 104 Bismarck, ND 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,600 $1.10 23d 1 1.20mi
2113 Grimsrud Dr Bismarck, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,595 $1.68 23d 10 1.35mi
2141 Xavier St Unit 312 Bismarck, ND 2.0 2.0 1065 $1,215 $1.14 23d 1 1.40mi
4309 N 19th St Bismarck, ND 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,955 $1.78 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $269,900 Active
  3. 2016-05-04
    soldstatus $150,000
  4. 2015-10-27
    soldstatus
  5. 1995-10-13
    soldstatus 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    * AS PER OWNER LOTS OFBLT IN STORAGE-SUPER CLEAN-EXCLUDE SWINGSET, KENNEL, MATCHINGCURTAINS TO BEDSPREADS-SHINGLED '95-NO CONDO FEES. Fenced Yard. Basement - FULL.

  6. 1995-07-12
    listed $59,900 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    * AS PER OWNER LOTS OFBLT IN STORAGE-SUPER CLEAN-EXCLUDE SWINGSET, KENNEL, MATCHINGCURTAINS TO BEDSPREADS-SHINGLED '95-NO CONDO FEES. Fenced Yard. Basement - FULL.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$699 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,645 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$1,946/yr (+$162/mo · 278.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,433
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$699
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,955
− Management
−$1,955
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$4,495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,079
After-tax cash flow
$1,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck 1
NCES district ID
3800014
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$60,649
Composite
36.76/100
National rank
#4577
State rank
#25 of 53 in ND

Livability — Bismarck

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2213

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bismarck, ND
County
Burleigh County · 97,300 people
City population
97,300
Metro
Bismarck, ND
Population (ZIP)
37,683
Household income
$102,333
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
814.0

Population outlook (Burleigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
119,359 people
By 2030
133,047 · +11.5%
By 2040
161,545 · +35.3%
By 2050
191,960 · +60.8%
By 2075
274,569 · +130.0%
By 2100
350,910 · +194.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 17% Scotch-Irish 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burleigh

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.5% · R 70.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.96%
Current HPI
223.9683
Rent YoY
▲ 11.79%
Metro
Bismarck, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending GNMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $269,900 GNMLS
  • 2016-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-10-13 Sold (MLS) GNMLS
  • 1995-07-12 Listed $59,900 GNMLS

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $699 · -65.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…