1228 S 12th St · Quincy, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! A wide, inviting front porch sets the tone as you step into a spacious, open living and dining area - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. This home offers easy one-level living with space to grow. You'll appreciate the peace of mind with a new furnace (2024), AC (2021), durable metal roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The flexible layout includes two comfortable main-floor bedrooms (one with a private half bath), a third bedroom in the attic - ideal for a home office, guest space, or hobby room. Step outside to enjoy your private patio and nicely fenced backyard, perfect for summer BBQs, pets, or quiet evenings. Located in a convenient, walkable neighborhood, you're just minutes from parks and local shops. Additional features you'll love: walk-in shower, main-floor laundry, large storage shed, and off-street parking with ramp access for added convenience. This home combines comfort, convenience, and value - don't miss your chance to make it yours!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Fenced yard
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,083/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1238% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1862 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1862 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.56%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,737
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -13.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 S 16th St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+1%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $114 | 66 |
| 1118 S 16th St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,415 (-7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $110 | 64 |
| 921 Adams | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-13%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $117 | 60 |
| 716 S 17th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,499 (-1%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $83 | 59 |
| 607 S 17th St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (-0%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $81 | 56 |
| 1621 Jackson St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,317 (-13%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 612 Monroe St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+10%) | 2mo | $57,500 | $34 | 55 |
| 1112 Payson Ave | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,645 (+8%) | 3mo | $157,000 | $95 | 53 |
| 828 S 11th St | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,718 (+13%) | 1mo | $140,500 | $82 | 53 |
| 1512 State St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+5%) | 0mo | $148,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 631 S 11th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (-14%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 530 S 9th | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,340 (-12%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $102 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $44,280
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $156,599
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62301
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,682/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $827
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 S 8th St Quincy, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1785 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 116 N 3rd St Quincy, IL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1950 | $4,333 | $2.22 | 43d | 12 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-12pricedays on market $119,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $115,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $115,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-04-03status Active 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home! A wide, inviting front porch sets the tone as you step into a spacious, open living and dining area - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. This home offers easy one-level living with space to grow. You'll appreciate the peace of mind with a new furnace (2024), AC (2021), durable metal roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The flexible layout includes two comfortable main-floor bedrooms (one with a private half bath), a third bedroom in the attic - ideal for a home office, guest space, or hobby room. Step outside to enjoy your private patio and nicely fenced backyard, perfect for summer BBQs, pets, or quiet evenings. Located in a convenient, walkable neighborhood, you're just minutes from parks and local shops. Additional features you'll love: walk-in shower, main-floor laundry, large storage shed, and off-street parking with ramp access for added convenience. This home combines comfort, convenience, and value - don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2026-03-25historical Contingent - Continue to Show 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home! A wide, inviting front porch sets the tone as you step into a spacious, open living and dining area - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. This home offers easy one-level living with space to grow. You'll appreciate the peace of mind with a new furnace (2024), AC (2021), durable metal roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The flexible layout includes two comfortable main-floor bedrooms (one with a private half bath), a third bedroom in the attic - ideal for a home office, guest space, or hobby room. Step outside to enjoy your private patio and nicely fenced backyard, perfect for summer BBQs, pets, or quiet evenings. Located in a convenient, walkable neighborhood, you're just minutes from parks and local shops. Additional features you'll love: walk-in shower, main-floor laundry, large storage shed, and off-street parking with ramp access for added convenience. This home combines comfort, convenience, and value - don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2026-03-19$115,900 Active 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
Welcome home! A wide, inviting front porch sets the tone as you step into a spacious, open living and dining area - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. This home offers easy one-level living with space to grow. You'll appreciate the peace of mind with a new furnace (2024), AC (2021), durable metal roof, and low-maintenance vinyl siding. The flexible layout includes two comfortable main-floor bedrooms (one with a private half bath), a third bedroom in the attic - ideal for a home office, guest space, or hobby room. Step outside to enjoy your private patio and nicely fenced backyard, perfect for summer BBQs, pets, or quiet evenings. Located in a convenient, walkable neighborhood, you're just minutes from parks and local shops. Additional features you'll love: walk-in shower, main-floor laundry, large storage shed, and off-street parking with ramp access for added convenience. This home combines comfort, convenience, and value - don't miss your chance to make it yours!
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2026-01-30historical
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2026-01-30historical
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2025-12-10price
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2025-08-28price
-
2025-08-04Active
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2025-08-04Active
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2025-08-04$119,900 Active
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2024-04-01soldstatus $120,000
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2024-03-26soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2024-03-26soldstatus $120,000
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2024-03-26soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2024-03-26soldstatus $120,000
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2024-02-26historical Active Under Contract
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2024-02-26historical Under Contract
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2023-12-18price $125,000
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2023-12-18price $125,000
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2023-12-14price $125,900
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2023-12-14price $125,900
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2023-09-15$129,900 Active
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2023-09-15$125,000
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2023-09-15$129,900 Active
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2023-09-15$125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,682 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,202 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$520/yr (+$43/mo · 30.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,001
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,682
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,000
- − Management
- −$2,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $8,515
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quincy SD 172
- NCES district ID
- 1733000
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,132
- Composite
- 21.91/100
- National rank
- #8229
- State rank
- #328 of 620 in IL
Livability — Quincy
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #506
- US rank
- #10458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quincy, IL
- County
- Adams County · 30,746 people
- City population
- 30,746
- Metro
- Quincy, IL-MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,746
- Household income
- $52,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1238.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,795 people
- By 2030
- 64,436 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 61,007 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 56,851 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 46,424 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 34,305 · -47.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.6% · R 73.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.0pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+35.2 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.44%
- Current HPI
- 131.7344
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.78%
- Metro
- Quincy, IL-MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-10.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Listed $115,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed $119,900 Quincy AOR
- 2025-08-04 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Quincy AOR
- 2024-02-26 Contingent — Quincy AOR
- 2024-02-26 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $125,000 Quincy AOR
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $125,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-14 Price Changed $125,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-14 Price Changed $125,900 Quincy AOR
- 2023-09-15 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Listed $129,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Listed $129,900 Quincy AOR
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2023): $1,682 · +55.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…