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405 E 63 Unit 3E
D Composite 43.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$450,000

405 E 63 Unit 3E · New York, NY 10065
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 850 sqft · Condo · 23 Days on market
Built 1957

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 405 East 63rd Street, Apt 3E, a spacious 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence offering approximately 850 sq ft, ideally located in the heart of Lenox Hill. This beautifully laid-out home features a gracious entry foyer with two large closets, leading to a dedicated dressing area with an additional oversized closet and a well-appointed bathroom. The expansive living and dining area showcases parquet floors and provides ample space for comfortable entertaining. The separate bedroom offers privacy and generous proportions, while the windowed kitchen adds charm and functionality. Situated in the well-managed, full-service York Gate cooperative, residents enjoy a 24-hour doorman, live-in r

Key facts

  • Roof deck
  • Entry foyer
  • Windowed kitchen

Tags

ENTRY FOYERDEDICATED DRESSING AREAWINDOWED KITCHEN24 HOUR DOORMANLIVE IN RESIDENT MANAGERROOF DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $450k).
  • Recommended offer: $443k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($155k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $443,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
2.94%
Cash-on-cash
-11.99%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.79% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$75,701
Equity at exit
$276,991
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$364,259
Equity at exit
$497,296

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10065

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,639 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax est. 1.5%
$562 /mo · $6,750/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$2,604
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,184
Net cashflow
$-1,259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,233
Max offer price $267,860
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-948 -5% $-1,103 +0% $-1,259 +5% $-1,414 +10% $-1,570
Rent -10% $-1,704 -5% $-1,481 +0% $-1,259 +5% $-1,036 +10% $-813
Rate -1.0pp $-1,032 -0.5pp $-1,144 base $-1,259 +0.5pp $-1,375 +1.0pp $-1,494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
403 E 62nd St Unit 14C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $4,900 $7.54 23d 1 0.07mi
360 E 65th St #1283 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $4,840 $4.57 5d 3 0.10mi
400 E 66th St Unit 1016404P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $10,597 $13.40 5d 2 0.12mi
301 E 63rd St New York, NY 2.0 1.0 975 $6,650 $6.82 6d 1 0.19mi
304 E 65th St Unit 11C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 770 $5,450 $7.08 17d 1 0.19mi
220 E 65th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $5,950 $8.50 4d 1 0.25mi
411 E 68th St Unit 1021976P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 893 $6,792 $7.61 23d 1 0.25mi
252 E 61st St #638 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 666 $5,530 $8.30 3d 2 0.26mi
225 E 63rd St #1675 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 627 $5,230 $8.34 26d 2 0.27mi
220 E 63rd St #567 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $6,460 $8.07 22d 1 0.27mi
329 E 58th St #807 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 650 $5,860 $9.02 9d 1 0.28mi
403 E 69th St #1518 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 745 $3,990 $5.36 26d 3 0.29mi
1290 1st Ave #1499 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 671 $6,100 $9.09 4d 2 0.29mi
300 E 69th St Unit 1294661P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 839 $6,870 $8.19 21d 1 0.32mi
1310 2nd Ave Unit 1224958P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 699 $5,450 $7.80 3d 2 0.32mi
400 E 57th St #2106 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $6,610 $7.32 5d 3 0.33mi
885 Main St Unit 6B New York, NY 2.0 2.0 950 $5,300 $5.58 1d 1 0.38mi
885 Main St #705 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $4,800 $4.36 0d 1 0.38mi
300 E 57th St #1714 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 820 $5,800 $7.07 22d 1 0.38mi
599 E 56th St Unit 1817 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 625 $4,850 $7.76 26d 1 0.39mi
227 E 57th St Unit 14C New York, NY 1.0 1.0 780 $4,750 $6.09 26d 1 0.40mi
412 E 55th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 767 $5,250 $6.84 26d 1 0.44mi
515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 687 $5,500 $8.01 26d 1 0.46mi
235 E 55th St Unit 36B New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $4,800 $7.38 26d 1 0.48mi
420 E 54th St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.5 1018 $7,261 $7.13 0d 12 0.50mi
150 E 57th St New York, NY 5.0 1.0–7.5 2750 $10,504 $3.82 3d 5 0.52mi
1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 650 $7,260 $11.17 26d 1 0.52mi
501 E 74th St #1572 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $10,210 $10.21 22d 1 0.54mi
959 1st Ave Unit 6X New York, NY 1.0 1.0 739 $6,000 $8.12 26d 1 0.55mi
117 E 57th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 732 $5,975 $8.16 6d 2 0.57mi
333 E 52nd St Unit 2177 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $4,900 $8.17 23d 1 0.57mi
250 E 53rd St #403 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 823 $5,850 $7.11 26d 1 0.58mi
940 1st Ave Unit 2040 New York, NY 2.0 1.5 600 $6,810 $11.35 0d 1 0.59mi
340 E 52nd St #1527 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 575 $7,890 $13.72 1d 2 0.60mi
404 E 76th St New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $4,895 $4.89 6d 2 0.61mi
404 E 76th St Unit 19C New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $7,500 $6.82 26d 1 0.63mi
340 E 51st St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $6,250 $7.90 5d 3 0.65mi
300 E 51st St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $6,365 $7.27 4d 3 0.65mi
123 E 54th St #1251 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 600 $5,220 $8.70 1d 2 0.66mi
231 E 76th St #1530 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $6,470 $9.95 22d 1 0.69mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
doorman
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-02-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-21
    price $450,000
  3. 2026-01-21
    listed $425,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$67,673
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$6,750
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,414
− Management
−$5,414
− HOA
−$31,248
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$21,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,208
After-tax cash flow
$-9,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
30,808
Household income
$155,331
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
2355.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.79%
Current HPI
194.3314
Rent YoY
▲ 11.63%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-13 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…