216 N 37th St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quaint two bedroom vinyl sided ranch with tile floor in eat-in kitchen and bath, and a deep back yard. Low maintenance exterior. Additional storage in attic. Insulated windows. SOLD AS-IS! Pre-approval letter or proof of funds & min. $1000 good faith deposit required with all offers. Cashier's check (no money orders) required w/accepted offer. Special warranty deed. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 8-17. Only offers from owner-occupants or agencies using public funds will be considered in the 1st 20 days of the listing. AGENTS: PLEASE READ AGENT NOTES.
Key facts
- 5,576 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the GREENBRIAR subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; 1 story
- Construction: Built in 1951; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; 3 closets; No basement; Living room on the first floor; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor; First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 140 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $80k implies a 451% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 N 37th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $93 | 99 |
| 219 N 37th St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (0%) | 9mo | $69,000 | $99 | 91 |
| 333 N 38th St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 734 (+5%) | 15mo | $137,500 | $187 | 71 |
| 358 N 42nd St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-4%) | 11mo | $47,750 | $71 | 68 |
| 401 N 42nd St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+11%) | 12mo | $69,000 | $88 | 54 |
| 104 N 40th St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+10%) | 21mo | $78,000 | $102 | 54 |
| 3438 W Jefferson St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-6%) | 20mo | $48,800 | $74 | 53 |
| 3120 W Jefferson St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 731 (+4%) | 9mo | $89,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 415 N 38th St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 783 (+12%) | 23mo | $66,298 | $85 | 49 |
| 128 N 43rd St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 638 (-9%) | 24mo | $73,000 | $114 | 45 |
| 3831 W Muhammad Ali Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 760 (+9%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $79 | 43 |
| 3626 Vermont Ave | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 736 (+5%) | 23mo | $22,000 | $30 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $52,535
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.33×
- Total profit
- $141,672
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40212
- Home prices YoY
- 11.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $939 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $545/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 N 37th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 103 N 38th St Apt 4 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $950 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3416 W Main St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $825 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 111 Hansbrough Pl Unit 101 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $890 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 112 Boston Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 127 Boston Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4143 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 115 N 46th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3120 Bank St Unit B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 521 N 33rd St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4018 Vermont Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2717 Slevin St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $725 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3124 Vermont Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $699 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3124 Vermont Ave Unit 3124-1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2718 W Jefferson St Unit 2718-3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $699 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2718 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $699 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2722 Portland Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $695 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 691 Madelon Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $675 | $1.04 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4309 Elliott Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $695 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4309 Elliott Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $650 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 206 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $950 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 203 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 832 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3515 W Kentucky St Unit 3515-12 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1201 Dewey St #3 New Albany, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 220 Doctor W. J. Hodge St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $700 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 121 E 14th St Unit 2 New Albany, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $825 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-17$79,900 Active
-
2016-08-17soldstatus $14,500 Closed 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Quaint two bedroom vinyl sided ranch with tile floor in eat-in kitchen and bath, and a deep back yard. Low maintenance exterior. Additional storage in attic. Insulated windows. SOLD AS-IS! Pre-approval letter or proof of funds & min. $1000 good faith deposit required with all offers. Cashier's check (no money orders) required w/accepted offer. Special warranty deed. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 8-17. Only offers from owner-occupants or agencies using public funds will be considered in the 1st 20 days of the listing. AGENTS: PLEASE READ AGENT NOTES.
-
2016-08-09status Pending 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Quaint two bedroom vinyl sided ranch with tile floor in eat-in kitchen and bath, and a deep back yard. Low maintenance exterior. Additional storage in attic. Insulated windows. SOLD AS-IS! Pre-approval letter or proof of funds & min. $1000 good faith deposit required with all offers. Cashier's check (no money orders) required w/accepted offer. Special warranty deed. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 8-17. Only offers from owner-occupants or agencies using public funds will be considered in the 1st 20 days of the listing. AGENTS: PLEASE READ AGENT NOTES.
-
2016-07-29$14,900 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Quaint two bedroom vinyl sided ranch with tile floor in eat-in kitchen and bath, and a deep back yard. Low maintenance exterior. Additional storage in attic. Insulated windows. SOLD AS-IS! Pre-approval letter or proof of funds & min. $1000 good faith deposit required with all offers. Cashier's check (no money orders) required w/accepted offer. Special warranty deed. This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 8-17. Only offers from owner-occupants or agencies using public funds will be considered in the 1st 20 days of the listing. AGENTS: PLEASE READ AGENT NOTES.
-
2005-10-20soldstatus $20,000 138-char remark
Show marketing remark (138 chars)
Property sold in as is condition with no warranties, expressed or implied. Please submit preapproval letters or proof of funds with offer.
-
2005-06-07$24,900 138-char remark
Show marketing remark (138 chars)
Property sold in as is condition with no warranties, expressed or implied. Please submit preapproval letters or proof of funds with offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $545 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 26.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$545
- − Insurance
- −$1,197
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$901
- − Management
- −$901
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,661
- Household income
- $35,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1148.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.02%
- Current HPI
- 293.2624
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+220.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $79,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2016-08-17 Sold (MLS) $14,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2016-08-09 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2016-07-29 Listed $14,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-10-20 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-06-07 Listed $24,900 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $545 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…