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200 Wentworth Dr
C Composite 59.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$264,000

200 Wentworth Dr · West Columbia, TX 77486
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1978 8,276 sqft lot $147/sqft · at area comps Est $273k · at est. $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfectly positioned on a spacious corner lot, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath all-brick residence offers the ideal blend of comfort, style, and functionality - complete with a NEW ROOF for added peace of mind. From the moment you step inside, you’re welcomed by a floor-to-ceiling brick fireplace and an expansive open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area designed for effortless entertaining and everyday living. Tasteful updates enhance the home’s appeal, while tile flooring throughout delivers both durability and low-maintenance living. The bathrooms feature granite countertops, adding a refined, modern touch. Located within a desirable golf course community known for its welcoming atmosphere, the property also includes a wide double driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a covered breezeway that adds both convenience and charm. With standout curb appeal, privacy, and easy access to nearby amenities, this home presents an exceptional opportunity for its next owner.

Key facts

  • Double driveway
  • Tile flooring
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW ROOFTILE FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSGOLF COURSE COMMUNITYDOUBLE DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $264k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $264k).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.4% in West Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia-Brazoria ISD (town): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #513 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.34%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$273,070
List price
$264,000
Delta
-3.32%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
241 Woodhaven Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,735 (-4%) 2mo $292,900 $169 80
2337 Shalmar Dr 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,801 (+0%) 3mo $335,000 $186 75
2571 Pinehurst Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 2,019 (+12%) 1mo $249,000 $123 74
2280 Riveroaks Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,885 (+5%) 2mo $399,999 $212 74
229 N Amherst Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,007 (+12%) 3mo $354,000 $176 72
429 N Amherst Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,778 (-1%) 1mo $276,500 $156 72
284 Mossy Meadow Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,996 (+11%) 2mo $320,000 $160 64
2250 Lake Forrest Dr 0.46mi 3/3.0 1,684 (-6%) 2mo $268,500 $159 62
2554 Lakeside Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,587 (-12%) 2mo $278,000 $175 62
281 Crestview Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,571 (-13%) 2mo $199,900 $127 62
214 Montclaire Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,968 (+10%) 1mo $365,990 $186 58
205 Montclaire Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,565 (-13%) 2mo $219,000 $140 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$119,610
Equity at exit
$193,941
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$334,443
Equity at exit
$378,818

Cash invested: $73,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77486

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,384
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,856/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$567
Net cashflow
$267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,362
Max offer price $264,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,000
Closing costs
$7,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2363 Ridgewood Dr West Columbia, TX 4.0 2.5 2555 $2,700 $1.06 24d 1 0.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $264,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $264,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $264,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $264,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $264,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $264,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $264,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $264,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $264,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $264,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $264,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $264,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $264,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $264,000 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    price $264,000 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Perfectly positioned on a spacious corner lot, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath all-brick residence offers the ideal blend of comfort, style, and functionality - complete with a NEW ROOF for added peace of mind. From the moment you step inside, you’re welcomed by a floor-to-ceiling brick fireplace and an expansive open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area designed for effortless entertaining and everyday living. Tasteful updates enhance the home’s appeal, while tile flooring throughout delivers both durability and low-maintenance living. The bathrooms feature granite countertops, adding a refined, modern touch. Located within a desirable golf course community known for its welcoming atmosphere, the property also includes a wide double driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a covered breezeway that adds both convenience and charm. With standout curb appeal, privacy, and easy access to nearby amenities, this home presents an exceptional opportunity for its next owner.

  16. 2026-02-14
    listed $269,000 Active 1011-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1011 chars)

    Perfectly positioned on a spacious corner lot, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath all-brick residence offers the ideal blend of comfort, style, and functionality - complete with a NEW ROOF for added peace of mind. From the moment you step inside, you’re welcomed by a floor-to-ceiling brick fireplace and an expansive open-concept living, dining, and kitchen area designed for effortless entertaining and everyday living. Tasteful updates enhance the home’s appeal, while tile flooring throughout delivers both durability and low-maintenance living. The bathrooms feature granite countertops, adding a refined, modern touch. Located within a desirable golf course community known for its welcoming atmosphere, the property also includes a wide double driveway, a detached two-car garage, and a covered breezeway that adds both convenience and charm. With standout curb appeal, privacy, and easy access to nearby amenities, this home presents an exceptional opportunity for its next owner.

  17. 2025-11-25
    historical
  18. 2025-09-24
    price $269,000
  19. 2025-08-19
    price $279,999
  20. 2025-08-13
    price $286,000
  21. 2025-06-01
    listed $290,000 Active
  22. 2009-02-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,856 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,831 · $403/mo
Expected delta
+$975/yr (+$81/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,400
− Mortgage interest
−$14,788
− Property taxes
−$3,856
− Insurance
−$1,320
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,592
− Management
−$2,592
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$7,680
Taxable loss
−$1,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$247
After-tax cash flow
$3,453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia-Brazoria ISD
NCES district ID
4814670
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,256
Composite
30.23/100
National rank
#6297
State rank
#513 of 826 in TX

Livability — West Columbia

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7954

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,330

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.63%
Current HPI
320.7967
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $264,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Listed $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $279,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $286,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Listed $290,000 HARMLS
  • 2009-02-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,856 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…