33002 Bishop St · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$86,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
Key facts
- New deck
- Fantastic location
- 20.22 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $595 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.13%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,851
- List price
- $86,000
- Delta
- -47.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $61,613
- Equity at exit
- $12,823
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.27×
- Total profit
- $150,862
- Equity at exit
- $7,436
Cash invested: $24,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 865
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$451
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $172/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $1,187
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,500
- Closing costs
- $2,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22392 Circle Rd , DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,523 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 34011 Harvard Ave Millsboro, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $3,146 | $3.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $86,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $86,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $86,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $86,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $86,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $86,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $86,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $86,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $86,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $86,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $86,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $86,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $86,000 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
-
2026-03-17price $88,000 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
-
2025-10-11price $89,000 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
-
2025-10-02price $99,999 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
-
2025-09-25$99,000 Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
This three-bedroom, one-bath home is full of potential and located right off Long Neck Road, just minutes from area beaches. Renovations have already been started, giving you a great head start to add your finishing touches and make it your own. New deck and living room roof only a few years old. With low lot rent of only $625 a month, this property is an affordable option as a perfect starter home, a beach getaway, or even an investment opportunity. Don’t miss the chance to bring this home back to life in a fantastic location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $172 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 95.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,817
- − Property taxes
- −$172
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,051
- − Management
- −$2,051
- − Depreciation
- −$2,502
- Taxable income
- $13,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $88,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $89,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $99,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $172 · -46.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…