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302 Wellington Rd
C+ Composite 61.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

302 Wellington Rd · Irondequoit, NY 14580
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1954 0.35 ac lot Est $265k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* LOVELY WEBSTER HOME WITH ENDLESS POSSIBILITES * THIS HOME IS LOCATED IN THE HEART OF IT ALL * OPEN AIRY FLOW, FEATURING 3 BEDROOMS, ONE WITH A SLIDER TO BEAUTIFUL BACK PATIO * 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY * NEW FURNACE * NEW A/C * NEW WINDOWS!!! * * NEW FLOORING, RENOVATED BATH, HUGE KITCHEN, WHICH ALSO OFFERS BACK DOOR TO YOUR OVERSIZED 3+ GARAGE SPACE WHICH INCLUDES A TOOL AREA, STORAGE ROOM, HEATING (WITH CONNECT) WATER, ELECTRICAL AND BACK OVERHEAD GARAGE DOOR AS WELL * THIS FLEX SPACE CAN BE EASILY REINVENTED INTO ANY OWNERS DREAM SPACE * HUGE FULLY FENCED BACKYARD IS AN ADDED BONUS * SMALL DECK OFFERS PRIVACY AND PEACEFUL SETTING WITH THE FOREVER FIELD *

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Tool area
  • Renovated bath

Tags

RENOVATED BATHHUGE KITCHENOVERSIZED GARAGE SPACETOOL AREASTORAGE ROOMBACK OVERHEAD GARAGE DOOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 3 spaces; Heated garage; Garage workshop; Garage has electricity and water available; Garage door opener; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electric service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pre-cast concrete elements; Insulated attic/crawl hatchway(s)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 71 x 200

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Various flooring types
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Programmable thermostat
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sliding glass door(s); Solid surface counters; Programmable thermostat; Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.65%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,600
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
302 Wellington Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 900 (0%) 0mo $265,000 $294 100
510 Klem Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 912 (+1%) 4mo $240,000 $263 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-19,814
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-4,478
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14580

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,137 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$340 /mo · $4,078/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,863
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,078 · $340/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,078 · $340/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,646
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,078
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,052
− Management
−$2,052
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$548
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$131
After-tax cash flow
$2,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Central School District
NCES district ID
3630360
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$71,221
Composite
55.18/100
National rank
#1273
State rank
#184 of 590 in NY

Livability — Irondequoit

Score
81/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#1414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
74,252
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
54,180
Household income
$98,310
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1325.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.52%
Current HPI
266.2145
Rent YoY
▲ 2.38%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,078 · +231.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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