35 Circle Dr · Yorkshire, NY 14173

$50,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market

Built 1986 $56/sqft · 69% below area ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.0/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome Home!!! This beautiful mobile home turn key ready. Located in Yorkshire NY driving distance to down town Arcade. The owner has installed a new hot water tank and furnace. The back porch is perfect for early morning coffee and late nights relaxation. This house can become anyone home.

Key facts

• Hot water tank
• Back porch
• Furnace

Tags

• HOT WATER TANK
• FURNACE
• BACK PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Land lease payment; Land lease amount: $440

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected
• Home design: Single-story property; Existing/resale condition
• Construction: Construction details: see remarks
• Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Rectangular lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven and range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate and varied flooring
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Air filtration; Sunroom/Florida room
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#939 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Yorkshire-Pioneer Central School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #358 of 590 in NY (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
• Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.11%
• DSCR: 2.74
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $160,442
• List price: $50,000
• Delta: -68.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 7 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3236 Westover St	0.60mi	2/1.0	800 (-11%)	6mo	$162,000	$203	45
12599 Hutchinson Rd	0.66mi	2/1.0	800 (-11%)	13mo	$75,000	$94	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 46.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.71×
• Total profit: $37,883
• Equity at exit: $25,442

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.9%
• Equity multiple: 7.49×
• Total profit: $90,871
• Equity at exit: $41,685

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14173

• Home prices YoY: 3.6%
• Active inventory: 2
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,015 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$213
• Net cashflow: $456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $491	-5% $474	+0% $456	+5% $439	+10% $422
Rent	-10% $376	-5% $416	+0% $456	+5% $496	+10% $536
Rate	-1.0pp $481	-0.5pp $469	base $456	+0.5pp $443	+1.0pp $430

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12100 Countyline Rd Arcade, NY	2.0	1.0	810	$1,015	$1.25	16d	1	0.46mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $50,000 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-05-18
   status Pending 292-char remark
3. 2026-05-07
   listed $50,000 Active 292-char remark
4. 2024-12-16
   listed $64,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,180
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$974
• − Management: −$974
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $4,976
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,194
• After-tax cash flow: $4,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Yorkshire-Pioneer Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3608970
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $45,735
• Composite: 44.02/100
• National rank: #2885
• State rank: #358 of 590 in NY

Livability — Yorkshire

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #939
• US rank: #18260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Yorkshire, NY
• City population: 183
• Population (ZIP): 183

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 71,623 people
• By 2030: 67,751 · -5.4%
• By 2040: 59,488 · -16.9%
• By 2050: 51,601 · -28.0%
• By 2075: 35,025 · -51.1%
• By 2100: 21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Two or more races 20%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 25% Lithuanian 20% Iranian 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.03%
• Current HPI: 114.3274
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-23.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-19 Relisted — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-18 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-07 Listed $50,000 UNYREIS
• 2024-12-16 Listed $64,900 WNYREIS