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8950 Highway 35 S
C Composite 59.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$107,500

8950 Highway 35 S · Forest, MS 39074
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1950 2.60 ac lot ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity in Forest! Located at 8950 Highway 35 S, this property offers a spacious rural setting with plenty of potential for homeowners or investors. Situated on a generous lot, the home provides a peaceful country atmosphere while still being conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and schools. The property offers a pool, an ample outdoor space for gardening, recreation, or future improvements. With some updates and personal touches, this home could be transformed into a comfortable residence or investment property. Property is being sold as-is, presenting an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to add value and customize to their needs.

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Generous lot
  • Pool

Tags

GENEROUS LOTPOOLAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#55 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Forest Municipal School District (town): math 25% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #88 of 130 in MS (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Elementary School (math 28% / reading 18%, grade F, #230 of 375 statewide, top 61%, 707 students, 100% FRL); Hawkins Middle School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #112 of 179 statewide, top 64%, 474 students, 100% FRL); Forest High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 464 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,275 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.90%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$52,141
Equity at exit
$79,984
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$144,276
Equity at exit
$157,185

Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39074

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$564
Tax est. 1.5%
$134 /mo · $1,612/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $940
Max offer price $107,500
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,875
Closing costs
$3,225
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-16
    listed $107,500 Active
  3. 2025-08-16
    historical
  4. 2025-04-10
    price $225,000
  5. 2025-03-27
    listed $250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,533
− Mortgage interest
−$6,022
− Property taxes
−$1,612
− Insurance
−$538
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,083
− Management
−$1,083
− Depreciation
−$3,127
Taxable income
$68
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16
After-tax cash flow
$1,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest Municipal School District
NCES district ID
2801470
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,190
Composite
18.09/100
National rank
#8973
State rank
#88 of 130 in MS

Livability — Forest

Score
69/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#8727

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,423

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,200 people
By 2030
27,923 · -1.0%
By 2040
26,898 · -4.6%
By 2050
25,341 · -10.1%
By 2075
20,244 · -28.2%
By 2100
13,845 · -50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.7% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+17.7 2012: R+9.0 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.77%
Current HPI
169.2022
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-57.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $107,500 MLSU
  • 2025-08-16 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $225,000 MLSU
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $250,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2014): $51 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…