3216 2nd Ave N · Great Falls, MT 59401

$95,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 468 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market

Built 1922 7,492 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 7,492 sq ft lot
• Built 1922
• Listed 120 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Public maintained, asphalt city street frontage
• HOA & community: Curbs, street lights, and sidewalks in the community

Exterior

• Parking: Alley access
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Phone available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation (see remarks)
• Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Wood fencing; Front yard; Level lot; Shed(s)

Interior

• Kitchen: Range (stove)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
• Interior features: Range (stove) included; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $95k).
• Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
• Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.51%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.90×
• Total profit: $-2,736
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $24,753
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Montana: 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 59401

• Rents YoY: 6.5%
• Active inventory: 49
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $961 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$77 /mo · $925/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$202
• Net cashflow: $144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-20
   listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $925 · $77/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $925 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,531
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$925
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$922
• − Management: −$922
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $201
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$48
• After-tax cash flow: $1,683/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Great Falls H S
• NCES district ID: 3013050
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $43,586
• Composite: 28.03/100
• National rank: #6846
• State rank: #79 of 116 in MT

Livability — Great Falls

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #19
• US rank: #2473

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Great Falls, MT
• County: Cascade County · 75,427 people
• City population: 75,427
• Metro: Great Falls, MT
• Population (ZIP): 13,255
• Household income: $55,299
• Rent vs Own: 44.6% rent · 55.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 531.0

Population outlook (Cascade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 81,936 people
• By 2030: 81,376 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 79,435 · -3.1%
• By 2050: 77,906 · -4.9%
• By 2075: 78,595 · -4.1%
• By 2100: 79,997 · -2.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Two or more races 7% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cascade

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.3) · D 37.3% · R 59.6% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -24.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -22.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.3 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+9.1 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -119.63%
• Current HPI: 198.2599
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.48%
• Metro: Great Falls, MT
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.41%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology / Analytics	1	$2B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Pending — MRMLS
• 2026-01-20 Listed $95,000 MRMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $925 · -28.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.