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1022 Spring Hill Cir
B- Composite 67.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$107,900

1022 Spring Hill Cir · Allardt, TN 38556
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · Manufactured public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1990 2.30 ac lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland

Key facts

  • 2.3 spacious acres
  • Light restrictions
  • 2.3 acre lot

Tags

2.3 SPACIOUS ACRESLIGHT RESTRICTIONSTWO UTILITY BUILDINGSTWO SEPARATE SEPTIC TANKSTRANQUIL NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank (perc test on file)
  • Home design: Not attached to another unit; Total building area 736 (source: tax records)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Country setting view; Storage outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling; Ceiling fans; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.3% in Allardt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#194 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fentress County (rural): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #91 of 139 in TN (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: York Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 425 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($746 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fentress County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,663 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.71%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$74,357
Equity at exit
$97,205
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
7.84×
Total profit
$206,760
Equity at exit
$209,626

Cash invested: $30,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38556

Home prices YoY
13.5%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$566
Tax est. 1.5%
$135 /mo · $1,618/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $107,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,975
Closing costs
$3,237
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,900 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,900 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,900 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,900 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $107,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    price $107,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland

  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland

  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $115,000 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland

  17. 2026-05-02
    listed $115,000 Active 1012-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,041
− Mortgage interest
−$6,044
− Property taxes
−$1,618
− Insurance
−$540
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$3,139
Taxable income
$1,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$310
After-tax cash flow
$2,624/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fentress County
NCES district ID
4701230
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$30,419
Composite
20.6/100
National rank
#8552
State rank
#91 of 139 in TN

Livability — Allardt

Score
63/100
State rank
#194
US rank
#15311

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,531

Population outlook (Fentress County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,295 people
By 2030
16,749 · -3.2%
By 2040
15,443 · -10.7%
By 2050
14,077 · -18.6%
By 2075
11,482 · -33.6%
By 2100
9,658 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fentress

2024 margin
Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.8% · R 87.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -75.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+75.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+53.4 2008: R+43.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 44.31%
Current HPI
372.5676
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $107,900 UCMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $107,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $109,900 UCMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $109,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $115,000 UCMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $115,000 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $77 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…