1022 Spring Hill Cir · Allardt, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$107,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland
Key facts
- 2.3 spacious acres
- Light restrictions
- 2.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Septic tank (perc test on file)
- Home design: Not attached to another unit; Total building area 736 (source: tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Country setting view; Storage outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling; Ceiling fans; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.3% in Allardt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#194 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fentress County (rural): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #91 of 139 in TN (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: York Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 425 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($746 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fentress County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.71%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $74,357
- Equity at exit
- $97,205
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $206,760
- Equity at exit
- $209,626
Cash invested: $30,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38556
- Home prices YoY
- 13.5%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$135 /mo · $1,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,975
- Closing costs
- $3,237
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $107,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $107,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $107,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $107,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-05-06$115,000 Active 1039-char remark
Show marketing remark (1039 chars)
Whether you're looking for a peaceful home base or a savvy investment with room to grow, this property at * * 1022 Spring Hill Circle * * offers the perfect blend of country quiet and city convenience. Nestled on * * 2.3 spacious acres * * , this manufactured home provides plenty of room to breathe with the benefit of * * light restrictions * * , giving you the freedom to truly enjoy your land. The property is exceptionally well-equipped for storage and expansion, featuring * * two utility buildings * * perfect for tools, hobbies, or seasonal gear. Perhaps the most unique asset is the utility setup: it includes * * two separate septic tanks * * (one for a 3-bedroom and one for a 2-bedroom), providing incredible potential for a second residence, guest house, or shop. Located in a tranquil neighborhood just minutes from downtown Jamestown, you'll enjoy total serenity without sacrificing quick access to local amenities. Don't miss this versatile opportunity to own a functional, private slice of the Cumberland
-
2026-05-02$115,000 Active 1012-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,041
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,044
- − Property taxes
- −$1,618
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,203
- − Management
- −$1,203
- − Depreciation
- −$3,139
- Taxable income
- $1,293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$310
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,624/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fentress County
- NCES district ID
- 4701230
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,419
- Composite
- 20.6/100
- National rank
- #8552
- State rank
- #91 of 139 in TN
Livability — Allardt
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #194
- US rank
- #15311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,531
Population outlook (Fentress County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,295 people
- By 2030
- 16,749 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 15,443 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 14,077 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 11,482 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 9,658 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fentress
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.8% · R 87.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -75.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+53.4 2008: R+43.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.31%
- Current HPI
- 372.5676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $107,900 UCMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $107,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $109,900 UCMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $109,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $115,000 UCMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $115,000 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $77 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…