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205 Barbara Cir
D+ Composite 49.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$186,500

205 Barbara Cir · Ocean Springs, MS 39564
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1975 0.26 ac lot Est $173k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this completely renovated, storm ready gem in the highly sought after Ocean Springs School District. Set on a spacious corner lot, this move in ready home blends coastal charm with durable, low maintenance features designed for peace of mind and easy living. Step inside to bright, open living spaces with fresh finishes throughout. The kitchen shines with updated cabinetry, modern countertops, and stainless appliances, flowing seamlessly into the dining and living areas—perfect for everyday life and entertaining. Bedrooms are comfortable and inviting, with refreshed baths showcasing stylish tile and fixtures. A brand new AC system keeps the home cool and efficient all y

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Stainless appliances
  • Refreshed baths

Tags

CORNER LOTUPDATED CABINETRYMODERN COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCESREFRESHED BATHSMETAL ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 covered space); Total parking for 4 vehicles; Concrete driveway and parking pad
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Vinyl and brick veneer with brick and metal siding; Slab foundation; Built prior to or verified by appraiser
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Chain link fenced backyard; Corner lot with front yard; Irregular lot shape; RV hookup; RV/boat storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop (electric); Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (includes 1 half bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Electric heating; Heat pump; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Deadbolt locks; Metal insulated doors; Blinds and shutters with storm windows and other window coverings; Outside fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $186k).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MS, #420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Magnolia Park Elementary (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #37 of 375 statewide, top 10%, 635 students, 100% FRL); Ocean Springs Middle School (math 66% / reading 61%, grade B+, #3 of 179 statewide, top 2%, 967 students, 100% FRL); Ocean Springs High School (math 77% / reading 64%, grade B+, #1 of 197 statewide, top 0%, 1,899 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 33% district-wide (67 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 718 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,702 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.77%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,394
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Beverly Dr 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,064 (+4%) 7mo $175,500 $165 78
211 Barbara Cir 0.05mi 3/1.0 936 (-9%) 4mo $162,000 $173 76
220 Barbara Cir 0.07mi 3/1.0 975 (-5%) 11mo $161,500 $166 75
201 Hunter Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-2%) 14mo $189,000 $189 67
234 Hunter Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 975 (-5%) 15mo $165,000 $169 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-20,137
Equity at exit
$27,808
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-12,957
Equity at exit
$16,125

Cash invested: $52,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
718
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,894 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$978
Tax est. 1.5%
$233 /mo · $2,798/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,631
Max offer price $186,500
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $336 -5% $272 +0% $208 +5% $143 +10% $79
Rent -10% $58 -5% $133 +0% $208 +5% $282 +10% $357
Rate -1.0pp $302 -0.5pp $255 base $208 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,625
Closing costs
$5,595
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
237 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,150 $1.66 14d 1 0.50mi
230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,850 $1.34 14d 1 0.53mi
230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 45d 1 0.53mi
422 Whispering Pine Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,795 $1.67 14d 1 0.60mi
3500 Groveland Rd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0–3.0 2.0 1173 $1,750 $1.49 14d 1 1.02mi
212 Maple Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,475 $1.35 14d 1 1.06mi
246 Woodland Cir Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 1.0 984 $1,475 $1.50 45d 1 1.09mi
600 Bechtel Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 944 $1,500 $1.59 14d 1 1.29mi
2501 Bienville Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1156 $2,000 $1.73 45d 1 1.29mi
2501 Bienville Blvd Unit 432 Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1095 $2,300 $2.10 45d 1 1.32mi
107 Elliott Pl Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,695 $1.48 22d 1 1.33mi
2 Fleetwood Pl Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 1.0 912 $2,000 $2.19 45d 1 1.38mi
111 Armand Oaks Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,800 $1.20 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $186,500 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $186,500 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $186,500 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $186,500 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $186,500 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $186,500 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $186,500 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 693-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $189,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,731
− Mortgage interest
−$10,447
− Property taxes
−$2,798
− Insurance
−$932
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,818
− Management
−$1,818
− Depreciation
−$5,425
Taxable loss
−$508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$122
After-tax cash flow
$2,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Ocean Springs

Score
86/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#420

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Springs, MS
County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
43,240
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $189,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…