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4765 Curtis Blvd
D Composite 41.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,000

4765 Curtis Blvd · Port St. John, FL 32927
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,130 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1991 0.25 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the highly desirable Port St. John area of Cocoa, FL--just minutes from Kennedy Space Center, SpaceX, Blue Origin, and major employers along the Space Coast. Step inside to a spacious open living area perfect for entertaining, featuring a blend of carpet and tile flooring throughout for both comfort and durability. The home also includes a tiled Florida room, providing additional flexible space ideal for gatherings, a home office, or relaxing year-round. Enjoy Florida living at its best with a screened-in porch complete with a working hot tub, perfect for unwinding after a long day. Conveniently located nea

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Open living area
  • Working hot tub

Tags

TILED FLORIDA ROOMSCREENED IN PORCHWORKING HOT TUBOPEN LIVING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Faces east
  • Construction: Concrete and stucco construction
  • Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Lot includes other features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Unfurnished (no included washer/dryer listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($144/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $298k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Atlantis Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 617 students, 60% FRL); Space Coast Junior/Senior High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 1,534 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $298,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.15%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-55,674
Equity at exit
$50,546
10-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-53,613
Equity at exit
$29,311

Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32927

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,982 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,778
Tax from tax record
$424 /mo · $5,093/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$626
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,966
Max offer price $339,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $108 +0% $12 +5% $-84 +10% $-180
Rent -10% $-224 -5% $-106 +0% $12 +5% $130 +10% $248
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $98 base $12 +0.5pp $-76 +1.0pp $-165

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,750
Closing costs
$10,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6655 Corto Rd Cocoa, FL 3.0 2.0 1441 $3,300 $2.29 16d 1 0.58mi
4855 Balfern St Cocoa, FL 4.0 2.0 1621 $3,500 $2.16 25d 1 0.99mi
5215 Holden Rd Cocoa, FL 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,185 $1.48 21d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    price $339,000
  2. 2026-03-19
    listed $356,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,093 · $424/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,093 · $424/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,778
− Mortgage interest
−$18,989
− Property taxes
−$5,093
− Insurance
−$1,695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,862
− Management
−$2,862
− Depreciation
−$9,862
Taxable loss
−$5,585
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,340
After-tax cash flow
$1,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. John

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. John, FL
County
Brevard County · 602,871 people
City population
28,493
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Population (ZIP)
29,219
Household income
$86,075
Rent vs Own
7.7% rent · 92.3% own
Severe rent burden
192.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.36%
Current HPI
330.5099
Rent YoY
▲ 2.48%
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $339,000 SCMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $356,000 SCMLS

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,093 · +220.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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