63 E Linden Ave · Marion, AR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! 63 E Linden Ave – Fully renovated 2 bed, 1 bath gem with 856 sq ft on a fenced 0.17-acre lot in central Marion. All new kitchen, new bath, new LVP floors, fresh paint, updated fixtures, and ready to go! Open layout, off-street parking, and minutes to everything. Priced to sell at $119,000 – perfect starter, downsizer, or investment. Move-in ready and won't last long! Come see it today!
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- New bath
- New kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#147 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #185 of 238 in AR (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Herbert Carter Global Community Magnet School (math 33% / reading 33%, grade F, #274 of 454 statewide, top 61%, 636 students, 58% FRL); Marion Junior High School (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #170 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 970 students, 75% FRL); Marion High School (math 10% / reading 27%, grade F, #251 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 850 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $109k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.17%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,560
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -15.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,718
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,949
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72364
- Home prices YoY
- -13.3%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $378/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $219 | -5% $188 | +0% $157 | +5% $126 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $117 | +0% $157 | +5% $197 | +10% $237 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $185 | base $157 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Par Dr Marion, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,330 | $1.74 | 3d | 31 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $109,000 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! 63 E Linden Ave – Fully renovated 2 bed, 1 bath gem with 856 sq ft on a fenced 0.17-acre lot in central Marion. All new kitchen, new bath, new LVP floors, fresh paint, updated fixtures, and ready to go! Open layout, off-street parking, and minutes to everything. Priced to sell at $119,000 – perfect starter, downsizer, or investment. Move-in ready and won't last long! Come see it today!
-
2025-11-19$119,000 Active 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! 63 E Linden Ave – Fully renovated 2 bed, 1 bath gem with 856 sq ft on a fenced 0.17-acre lot in central Marion. All new kitchen, new bath, new LVP floors, fresh paint, updated fixtures, and ready to go! Open layout, off-street parking, and minutes to everything. Priced to sell at $119,000 – perfect starter, downsizer, or investment. Move-in ready and won't last long! Come see it today!
-
2005-02-14soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $378 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 84.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,234
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$378
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $77
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$19
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,758
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8492
- State rank
- #185 of 238 in AR
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #12733
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Crittenden County · 16,034 people
- City population
- 16,034
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,034
- Household income
- $74,462
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 319.0
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.64%
- Current HPI
- 205.4807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+230.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $109,000 EARA
- 2025-11-19 Listed $119,000 EARA
- 2005-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $378 · +87.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…