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10275 E Highway 20
C- Composite 50.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$220,000

10275 E Highway 20 · Youngstown, FL 32466
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Other · 35 Days on market
Built 2026 1.01 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath double wide with a den situated on 1.012 acres in a peaceful country setting! This home offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and convenience, while still being approximately 30 miles from the white sandy beaches of Panama City Beach. The spacious floor plan includes a versatile den perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. The property features a new septic system, inspected well, completed survey, and new skirting around the home, front and back porches to be completed prior to closing. The title has been retired and the home has been converted to real property, making financing options more accessible for qualified buyers. Enjoy th

Key facts

  • New septic system
  • New skirting
  • Completed survey

Tags

1.012 ACRESNEW SEPTIC SYSTEMINSPECTED WELLCOMPLETED SURVEYNEW SKIRTINGFRONT AND BACK PORCHES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax information available (excluded by instructions)
  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric utilities (electric range and water heater)
  • Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Built as new construction; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 1.01 acres; Lot dimensions about 150 x 294

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first level); Bedroom sizes: one 15 x 12, two 10 x 12
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: New construction; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer indicated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($171/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $220k implies a 878% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,257 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.28%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$120,755
Equity at exit
$198,193
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
6.76×
Total profit
$354,949
Equity at exit
$427,412

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32466

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,943 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $166 -5% $90 +0% $14 +5% $-62 +10% $-138
Rent -10% $-139 -5% $-62 +0% $14 +5% $91 +10% $168
Rate -1.0pp $125 -0.5pp $70 base $14 +0.5pp $-43 +1.0pp $-101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $220,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $220,000 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $220,000 Active 1091-char remark
  19. 2019-01-31
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,311
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,865
− Management
−$1,865
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$3,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$850
After-tax cash flow
$1,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Youngstown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,837

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.68%
Current HPI
274.7988
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+877.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $220,000 CPARMLS
  • 2019-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-30.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $168 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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