4447 Marracco Dr · Hope Mills, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,777
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for space and opportunity? This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on approximately 1.5 acres and offers a great chance to make it your own. With a little TLC and some updates, this property could really shine. Enjoy the privacy of a larger lot while still being conveniently located between Fayetteville and Hope Mills, with quick access to shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. If you’re looking for a property with solid potential in a convenient location, this one is definitely worth a look!
Key facts
- Quick access
- Larger lot
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above- and below-grade area units reported in square feet
Exterior
- Utilities: Water from spring and well; Sewer via holding tank and septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Located in the GRAYS CREEK subdivision; Directions: From Route 95, turn on Chicken Foot Road, then Marracco Drive; property is on the right
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South View Middle (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 661 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 55% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $614 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.09%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,816
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358 Mcneill St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-7%) | 6mo | $94,797 | $68 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $34,163
- Equity at exit
- $13,237
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.98×
- Total profit
- $98,867
- Equity at exit
- $7,676
Cash invested: $24,858 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28348
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 317
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,708 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$466
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,444/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,194
- Closing costs
- $2,663
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3640 Ambition Rd Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1990 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5340 Miranda Dr Hope Mills, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1954 | $1,900 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 509 Meadowland Ct Hope Mills, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4807 S Main St Hope Mills, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $1,600 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4065 Professional Dr Unit 4065 Hope Mills, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4065 Professional Dr Hope Mills, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4079 Professional Dr Hope Mills, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4033 Professional Dr Unit 4033 Hope Mills, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2935 High Plains Dr Hope Mills, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1937 | $1,900 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,777 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,777 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,777 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,777 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,777 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,777 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,777 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,777 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,777 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,777 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $88,777 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $88,777 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $88,777 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $88,777 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $88,777 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$88,777 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,444 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,501
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,973
- − Property taxes
- −$1,444
- − Insurance
- −$444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$2,583
- Taxable income
- $7,778
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,867
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Hope Mills
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #10761
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 39,196
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,196
- Household income
- $66,129
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.14%
- Current HPI
- 228.3122
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $88,777 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,444 · +71.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…