317 N Weller St · Ottumwa, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
Key facts
- Roll-in shower stall
- Eat-in kitchen
- Oversized bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acres (50 x 146)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gravity heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Gravity heating system; No central cooling
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.0% vs local median 5.9% in Ottumwa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#91 in IA, #1,900 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
- Ottumwa Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #277 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.55%
- DSCR
- 3.34
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $57,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 N Moore St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (+0%) | 2mo | $63,500 | $80 | 92 |
| 202 N Moore St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (+11%) | 8mo | $59,000 | $67 | 70 |
| 312 S Moore St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 812 (+2%) | 5mo | $59,500 | $73 | 67 |
| 138 S Moore St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+9%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $64 | 63 |
| 112 S Ransom St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+6%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $54 | 63 |
| 422 W Finley Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+5%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $150 | 63 |
| 519 S Madison St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+1%) | 8mo | $98,900 | $124 | 60 |
| 902 Clinton Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (-6%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $60 | 57 |
| 513 S Sheridan Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (+10%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 425 S Davis St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+3%) | 0mo | $164,000 | $201 | 56 |
| 612 Clinton Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 906 (+14%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $63 | 48 |
| 518 Tuttle St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $185 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $32,506
- Equity at exit
- $7,828
- IRR
- 56.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.52×
- Total profit
- $81,144
- Equity at exit
- $4,539
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52501
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $612/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $644
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 420 Minneopa Ave Unit 203 Ottumwa, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 420 Minneopa Ave Unit 204 Ottumwa, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $52,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $52,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $52,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,500 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-20$52,500 Active
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2026-01-23historical $795
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2025-12-04price $795
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2025-10-31$850
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2025-10-30historical $850
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2025-10-14price $850
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2025-09-26$900
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2024-08-28soldstatus $45,000 Closed 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
-
2024-08-21historical $900
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2024-08-15$900
-
2024-07-12status Pending 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
-
2024-07-12historical $900
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
-
2024-07-02historical Active Under Contract 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
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2024-07-01$900
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2024-05-22$55,000 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
All-electric two bedroom home on Ottumwa's south side, offers economical living - conveniently located near John Deere and the YMCA. This home has a large wrap-around front porch with wheelchair ramp access. Eat-in kitchen, living room and bedrooms plus an oversized bathroom with roll-in shower stall. Alley access, vinyl siding, and a fenced yard. Here's a decent home now available at an affordable price!
-
2016-09-15soldstatus $22,600 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Here's a one-bedroom dollhouse located south Ottumwa near the YMCA. This handicap accessible HUD-owned property features a ramp to the open front porch; inside you'll find a living room, formal dining room, nice kitchen, enclosed back porch plus a very large accessible bathroom with laundry hook-ups. Alley parking; storage shed. Call today for an appointment.
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2016-05-27$24,800 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Here's a one-bedroom dollhouse located south Ottumwa near the YMCA. This handicap accessible HUD-owned property features a ramp to the open front porch; inside you'll find a living room, formal dining room, nice kitchen, enclosed back porch plus a very large accessible bathroom with laundry hook-ups. Alley parking; storage shed. Call today for an appointment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $612 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $718 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$612
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $7,315
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,755
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottumwa Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922110
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,864
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3004
- State rank
- #277 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ottumwa
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #1900
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottumwa, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,341
Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,472 people
- By 2030
- 35,563 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 36,083 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 37,287 · +5.1%
- By 2075
- 43,898 · +23.8%
- By 2100
- 52,973 · +49.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wapello
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.66%
- Current HPI
- 174.6021
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
+111.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $52,500 IAR
- 2026-01-23 Rental Removed $795 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $795 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-30 Rental Removed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2025-09-26 Listed for Rent $900 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-28 Sold (MLS) $45,000 IAR
- 2024-08-21 Rental Removed $900 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-15 Listed for Rent $900 BUILDIUM
- 2024-07-12 Pending — IAR
- 2024-07-12 Rental Removed $900 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-02 Contingent — IAR
- 2024-07-01 Listed for Rent $900 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-05-22 Listed $55,000 IAR
- 2016-09-15 Sold (MLS) $22,600 IAR
- 2016-05-27 Listed $24,800 IAR
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $612 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…