7410 Lamphere · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3 bedroom bungalow home boasts a new roof in 2025. It includes a stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer and partially finished basement. Home is well maintained!
Key facts
- New roof
- Built 1941
- Listed 279 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $137k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $137k implies a 879% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.95%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,840
- List price
- $137,000
- Delta
- 50.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7243 Dacosta | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 853 (-1%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $88 | 86 |
| 7420 Dacosta | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-2%) | 20mo | $66,000 | $79 | 76 |
| 7476 Beaverland | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 862 (+0%) | 23mo | $119,900 | $139 | 71 |
| 7336 Beaverland | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 866 (+1%) | 20mo | $115,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 7491 Dacosta | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 795 (-8%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 7507 Lamphere | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+5%) | 24mo | $105,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 7568 Hazelton St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+12%) | 6mo | $141,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 7845 Parkland | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 949 (+10%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $135 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,577
- Equity at exit
- $20,427
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $26,211
- Equity at exit
- $11,845
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $396 | -5% $357 | +0% $318 | +5% $279 | +10% $241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $198 | -5% $258 | +0% $318 | +5% $378 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $353 | base $318 | +0.5pp $283 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22330 W Warren Ave Redford Charter Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7466 W Parkway St Redford, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,528 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7462 N Vernon St Dearborn Heights, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7411 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,428 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8187 Lenore St Dearborn Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,550 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7080 Highview St Dearborn Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1105 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5965 Evergreen Rd Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $137,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $137,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $137,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $137,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2025-08-27$137,000 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom bungalow home boasts a new roof in 2025. It includes a stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer and partially finished basement. Home is well maintained!
-
2010-05-20soldstatus $14,000 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
HARDWOOD FLOOR IN LIVING ROOM. KNOTTY PINE IN MASTER BEDROOM. COVE CEILINGS. NEWER: ROOF 1-1/2 CAR GARAGE. STOVE & REFRIGERATOR. "AS IS" SELLER SAYS "MAKE AN OFFER!"
-
2009-08-12$15,000 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
HARDWOOD FLOOR IN LIVING ROOM. KNOTTY PINE IN MASTER BEDROOM. COVE CEILINGS. NEWER: ROOF 1-1/2 CAR GARAGE. STOVE & REFRIGERATOR. "AS IS" SELLER SAYS "MAKE AN OFFER!"
-
2002-06-03soldstatus $83,000
-
2002-02-18soldstatus $83,000
-
2002-01-17historical
-
2001-08-14$89,900
-
2000-05-09soldstatus $58,500
-
1999-12-15soldstatus $58,500
-
1999-08-10$64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,671 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$439/yr (+$37/mo · 35.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$1,232
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,454
- − Management
- −$1,454
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable income
- $1,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,412/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+114.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-27 Listed $137,000 Fizber.com
- 2010-05-20 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-08-12 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2002-02-18 Sold (MLS) $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-01-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-08-14 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 1999-12-15 Sold (MLS) $58,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-08-10 Listed $64,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,232 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…