4439 Oaklawn · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath brick home nestled under mature oak trees with a beautifully shaded yard. Conveniently located near McNeese College and centrally positioned in town, offering quick access to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Situated in a sought-after school district. Roof replaced in 2020 for added peace of mind. Fully fenced backyard--perfect for pets or entertaining. A great starter home or excellent addition to your rental portfolio! This home is not located in a flood zone.
Key facts
- Near mcneese college
- Mature oak trees
- Shaded yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 456 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,823
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -10.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 W Mcneese St St W | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-1%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $104 | 89 |
| 4326 Pleasant Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+3%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $108 | 85 |
| 4402 Pleasant Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+7%) | 2mo | $244,000 | $146 | 79 |
| 4539 Sale Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-8%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $118 | 66 |
| 905 Akron St St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-6%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 4327 Christina St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+1%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 3909 Genessee St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+3%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 717 University Dr Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (-9%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 307 W Sale Rd W | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,716 (+10%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $90 | 50 |
| 1119 Paris St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,723 (+11%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $125 | 49 |
| 524 Contour St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (+12%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $106 | 48 |
| 741 Morningside Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,340 (-14%) | 6mo | $144,000 | $107 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,885
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $51,198
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70605
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $649/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $270 | +0% $221 | +5% $171 | +10% $122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $158 | +0% $221 | +5% $284 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $265 | base $221 | +0.5pp $176 | +1.0pp $129 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4326 Christina St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,770 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 155 Heather St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 716 Dianne Ln Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $5,000 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4128 Center St Lake Charles, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2227 | $1,500 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 417 E Claude St Lake Charles, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1610 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1711 Mignonette Ln Unit 13-C Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,095 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4021 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4015 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 114 W Lagrange St Apt 18 Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 617 E School St Unit A Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4650 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,875 | $1.82 | 14d | 24 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $174,900 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath brick home nestled under mature oak trees with a beautifully shaded yard. Conveniently located near McNeese College and centrally positioned in town, offering quick access to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Situated in a sought-after school district. Roof replaced in 2020 for added peace of mind. Fully fenced backyard--perfect for pets or entertaining. A great starter home or excellent addition to your rental portfolio! This home is not located in a flood zone.
-
2026-03-17price $174,900 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath brick home nestled under mature oak trees with a beautifully shaded yard. Conveniently located near McNeese College and centrally positioned in town, offering quick access to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Situated in a sought-after school district. Roof replaced in 2020 for added peace of mind. Fully fenced backyard--perfect for pets or entertaining. A great starter home or excellent addition to your rental portfolio! This home is not located in a flood zone.
-
2026-03-04$179,900 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath brick home nestled under mature oak trees with a beautifully shaded yard. Conveniently located near McNeese College and centrally positioned in town, offering quick access to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Situated in a sought-after school district. Roof replaced in 2020 for added peace of mind. Fully fenced backyard--perfect for pets or entertaining. A great starter home or excellent addition to your rental portfolio! This home is not located in a flood zone.
-
2026-03-01$179,900 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
Charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath brick home nestled under mature oak trees with a beautifully shaded yard. Conveniently located near McNeese College and centrally positioned in town, offering quick access to local shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Situated in a sought-after school district. Roof replaced in 2020 for added peace of mind. Fully fenced backyard--perfect for pets or entertaining. A great starter home or excellent addition to your rental portfolio! This home is not located in a flood zone.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $962 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 48.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$649
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,482
- Household income
- $86,015
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.68%
- Current HPI
- 105.1903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $174,900 SWLAR
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $174,900 GFPAR
- 2026-03-04 Listed $179,900 SWLAR
- 2026-03-01 Listed $179,900 GFPAR
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $649 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…