5819 N Sedley St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold One Time Show.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Bright living room
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (no attached garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story living with additional lower/basement levels; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built in 1970; 1200 total building area
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Yard shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in primary living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Richwoods High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 1,580 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Peoria SD 150 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $112k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.09%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,692
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3909 W Creighton Ter | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+2%) | 13mo | $143,000 | $115 | 68 |
| 4521 W Rockwell Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+6%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 4627 W Andover Dr | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,297 (+6%) | 11mo | $158,500 | $122 | 42 |
| 4515 W Rockwell Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,097 (-11%) | 21mo | $169,000 | $154 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-6,304
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $10,067
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61615
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,706/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $218 | +0% $186 | +5% $154 | +10% $122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $134 | +0% $186 | +5% $239 | +10% $291 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $243 | -0.5pp $215 | base $186 | +0.5pp $157 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5505 N Frostwood Pkwy Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,490 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4105 W Hollow Creek Dr Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 14d | 3 | 0.70mi |
| 2979 W Cannes Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2913 W Cannes Dr Unit C Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $1,150 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2800 W War Memorial Dr Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $949 | $1.00 | 14d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 6900 N Summershade Cir Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,340 | $1.61 | 14d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 5745 Autumn Ridge Ct Apt A Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3207 W Willow Knolls Dr Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3119 W Willow Knolls Dr Unit 46B Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 872 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5605 N Withershin Pt Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,335 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5605 N Withershin Pt Unit 1 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,335 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5711 W Ridgecrest Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 14d | 8 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $112,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $112,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$115,000 Active
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2026-04-07Active
-
2022-04-15soldstatus $40,000 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
Sold One Time Show.
-
2022-03-11$40,000 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
Sold One Time Show.
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2015-11-07soldstatus
-
2014-08-28$69,900
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $70,500
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $70,500
-
2007-01-01$79,900
-
2003-08-08soldstatus $51,500
-
2003-06-01$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,706 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,706 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,926
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$2,706
- − Insurance
- −$562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $535
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$128
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,523
- Household income
- $79,817
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Asian 10% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.30%
- Current HPI
- 166.9745
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+109.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-11 Listed $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-07 Sold (MLS) — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-28 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 2007-03-30 Sold (MLS) $70,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-01 Listed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-08 Sold (MLS) $51,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-01 Listed $54,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,706 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…