🏷️ Likely Rental
410 E Virginia St · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a packaged deal with tenants in 3 of the 3 properties. Properties include: 640 Madison Ave rent $1,000/month 653 E Maryland $1,200/month (market rent currently vacant) 410 E Virginia $900/month $5120 per month/$61,440 annually
Key facts
- 4,051 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1889
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by KELLER WILLIAMS CAPITAL REALTY
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One-story
- Construction: Wood siding with asphalt components; Slab foundation; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 127
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space and partial basement; Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 236 students, 88% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.59%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514 N Elliott St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (-1%) | 10mo | $82,750 | $67 | 84 |
| 614 E Iowa St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $102 | 77 |
| 416 E Michigan St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,090 (-13%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $46 | 75 |
| 313 E Iowa St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (-10%) | 7mo | $69,900 | $63 | 73 |
| 613 E Louisiana St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+4%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $19 | 66 |
| 211 S Bedford Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,246 (-0%) | 1mo | $136,500 | $110 | 63 |
| 220 E Eichel Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,231 (-1%) | 7mo | $84,900 | $69 | 62 |
| 29 W Florida St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-1%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $110 | 58 |
| 318 W Louisiana St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-2%) | 2mo | $131,500 | $107 | 53 |
| 318 E Eichel Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,158 (-7%) | 7mo | $72,000 | $62 | 53 |
| 515 E Cherry St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,210 (-3%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $124 | 48 |
| 202 W Missouri St | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,346 (+8%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $100 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,590
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $40,234
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,044 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $621/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $235
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 751 | $675 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 200 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,599 | $1.86 | 13d | 7 | 0.39mi |
| 41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1018 Baker Ave Unit B Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $625 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 32 W Tennessee St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $925 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 706 Court St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 24 NW 6th St Apt 103 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,300 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 400 NW 5th St Unit 4 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $725 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 329 Main St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 717 | $1,505 | $2.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 300 Main St Unit 1 D3 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $795 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $1,725 | $2.41 | 13d | 17 | 1.23mi |
| 202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $2,449 | $2.64 | 21d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $895 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 21d | 6 | 1.28mi |
| 924 SE 6th St Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 315 SE 1st St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,695 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,455 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2501 N Evans Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $900 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1306 W Missouri St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 941 Stanley Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1219 Joan Ave Unit 1219 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $845 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-02$95,000 Active
-
2024-03-18price $89,000
-
2023-10-02$74,000 Active
-
2023-09-15historical $850
-
2023-08-11$850
-
2020-09-23$44,900
-
2016-05-09$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $621 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $714 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$93/yr (+$8/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$621
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,337
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$321
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+217.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2024-03-18 Price Changed $89,000 IRMLS
- 2023-10-02 Listed $74,000 IRMLS
- 2023-09-15 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-11 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 2020-09-23 Listed $44,900 IRMLS
- 2016-05-09 Listed $29,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $621 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…