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410 E Virginia St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

410 E Virginia St · Evansville, IN 47711
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,247 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1889 4,051 sqft lot Est $125k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a packaged deal with tenants in 3 of the 3 properties. Properties include: 640 Madison Ave rent $1,000/month 653 E Maryland $1,200/month (market rent currently vacant) 410 E Virginia $900/month $5120 per month/$61,440 annually

Key facts

  • 4,051 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1889

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by KELLER WILLIAMS CAPITAL REALTY

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One-story
  • Construction: Wood siding with asphalt components; Slab foundation; Built as site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 127

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space and partial basement; Main-level laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $95,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$124,700) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #862 of 994 statewide, top 88%, 236 students, 88% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.59%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,700
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
514 N Elliott St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,234 (-1%) 10mo $82,750 $67 84
614 E Iowa St 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,176 (-6%) 7mo $119,900 $102 77
416 E Michigan St 0.07mi 2/1.0 1,090 (-13%) 0mo $50,000 $46 75
313 E Iowa St 0.07mi 2/1.0 1,116 (-10%) 7mo $69,900 $63 73
613 E Louisiana St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (+4%) 3mo $25,000 $19 66
211 S Bedford Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,246 (-0%) 1mo $136,500 $110 63
220 E Eichel Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,231 (-1%) 7mo $84,900 $69 62
29 W Florida St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-1%) 7mo $135,000 $110 58
318 W Louisiana St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (-2%) 2mo $131,500 $107 53
318 E Eichel Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,158 (-7%) 7mo $72,000 $62 53
515 E Cherry St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,210 (-3%) 8mo $150,000 $124 48
202 W Missouri St 0.59mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,346 (+8%) 8mo $135,000 $100 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$3,590
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$40,234
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47711

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,044 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $746
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
610 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 751 $675 $0.90 21d 1 0.34mi
200 N Main St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,599 $1.86 13d 7 0.39mi
41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN 2.0 2.0 1083 $1,500 $1.39 21d 1 0.51mi
1018 Baker Ave Unit B Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $625 $0.78 21d 1 0.57mi
32 W Tennessee St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 864 $925 $1.07 13d 1 0.69mi
304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 967 $955 $0.99 21d 1 0.72mi
706 Court St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.5 1100 $850 $0.77 21d 1 0.76mi
313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 21d 1 0.77mi
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 21d 1 0.78mi
24 NW 6th St Apt 103 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 706 $1,300 $1.84 21d 1 0.88mi
400 NW 5th St Unit 4 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 792 $725 $0.92 21d 1 0.92mi
1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $1,195 $1.23 13d 1 1.00mi
329 Main St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 717 $1,505 $2.10 13d 1 1.03mi
1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 964 $1,050 $1.09 13d 1 1.03mi
300 Main St Unit 1 D3 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 21d 1 1.07mi
734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 21d 1 1.08mi
1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 814 $795 $0.98 13d 1 1.14mi
827 Judson St Evansville, IN 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 13d 1 1.20mi
100 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $1,725 $2.41 13d 17 1.23mi
202 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 926 $2,449 $2.64 21d 4 1.24mi
615 SE 3rd St Unit D Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1122 $895 $0.80 21d 1 1.26mi
322 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 21d 6 1.28mi
924 SE 6th St Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 21d 1 1.29mi
315 SE 1st St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 1331 $1,695 $1.27 21d 1 1.30mi
8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 21d 1 1.31mi
1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 990 $800 $0.81 21d 1 1.34mi
17 Washington Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 882 $1,455 $1.65 21d 1 1.39mi
2501 N Evans Ave Unit A Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 856 $900 $1.05 21d 1 1.39mi
1306 W Missouri St Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 13d 1 1.43mi
941 Stanley Ave Unit A Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 21d 1 1.49mi
1219 Joan Ave Unit 1219 Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $845 $1.17 13d 1 1.50mi
605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 1069 $1,375 $1.29 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-02-02
    listed $95,000 Active
  7. 2024-03-18
    price $89,000
  8. 2023-10-02
    listed $74,000 Active
  9. 2023-09-15
    historical $850
  10. 2023-08-11
    listed $850
  11. 2020-09-23
    listed $44,900
  12. 2016-05-09
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$714 · $60/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 15.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,523
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$321
After-tax cash flow
$2,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
30,944
Household income
$66,320
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.98%
Current HPI
205.62
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-03-18 Price Changed $89,000 IRMLS
  • 2023-10-02 Listed $74,000 IRMLS
  • 2023-09-15 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-11 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2020-09-23 Listed $44,900 IRMLS
  • 2016-05-09 Listed $29,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $621 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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