4849 Peck Rd #48 · El Monte, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Private entrance
- Built 1957
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area is estimated; Located in El Rovia Mobile Home Park
- Financial info: Land lease of $1,770 monthly (seller provided); Rent includes gas, electric, trash, water and sewer; Manager approval required for tenancy; Pets: call for policy
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Street lighting; Suburban community
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Carport; Parking available in El Rovia Mobile Home Park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Mobile home (expando); Mobile home remains on site; Total of 1 story
- Construction: Mobile width 13 ft; Mobile length 29 ft; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: No pool; Paved lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Single-level home with side entry; One story
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry available; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 2.4% in El Monte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#554 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- El Monte Union High (suburban): math 34% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #543 of 1,400 in CA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 386 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 386 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.22%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4849 Peck Rd #77 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $146 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $54,502
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 47.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $140,693
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91732
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $1,135
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12065 Hallwood Dr El Monte, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $3,050 | $2.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11126 Daines Dr Temple City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $3,200 | $3.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4064 E Live Oak Ave Arcadia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $3,222 | $3.39 | 17d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 5425 Santa Anita Ave Temple City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,875 | $2.14 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 521 E Live Oak Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 521 Live Oak Ave Unit 521B Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11519 Forest Grove St El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4128 Tyler Ave El Monte, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,100 | $3.00 | 1d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 2955 Mayflower Ave Arcadia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,100 | $3.23 | 15d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 10644 Fairhall St Unit B Temple City, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 780 | $2,400 | $3.08 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5607 Santa Anita Ave Temple City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,095 | $3.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11507 Medina Ct Unit 11507-C El Monte, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 1d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11690 Ramona Blvd El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,300 | $2.56 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3809 Pine Ave El Monte, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,700 | $3.60 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 11903 Deana St El Monte, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 7d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2853 Doolittle Ave Arcadia, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3914 Penn Mar Ave El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,100 | $2.47 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3817 Cogswell Rd El Monte, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,195 | $2.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3850 Penn Mar Ave Unit 9 El Monte, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,560 | $2.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5335 El Monte Ave Temple City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $3,200 | $3.67 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10668 Olive St Temple City, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 12040 Deana St Unit 42-3/4 El Monte, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,800 | $3.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2025-10-22price $110,000
-
2025-05-28$115,000 Active
-
2024-03-27soldstatus $90,000 Closed Sale 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2024-03-17historical Active Under Contract 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2024-03-11status Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2024-01-21status Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2024-01-06status Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2023-10-30price $110,000 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
-
2023-08-08$135,000 Active 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
WELCOME TO This is the ideal community always quiet community , well maintained and clean. Kitchen has beautiful cabinets with beautiful counter tops. Ready to move-in turnkey. Tankless water heater must see to appreciate. You could enjoy morning coffee and plants in your own gardens. Short distance to shops restaurants, parks & public transportation ideal for those looking for experience the best of city living.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,303
- − Management
- −$2,303
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $12,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,592/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- El Monte Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0612120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,859
- Composite
- 41.69/100
- National rank
- #7198
- State rank
- #543 of 1400 in CA
Livability — El Monte
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #554
- US rank
- #18369
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Monte, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 85,051
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,431
- Household income
- $75,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2538.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Asian 29% Two or more races 22% White 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Foreign-born
- 49% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 20% English-only · Spanish 54% Chinese 16% Vietnamese 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1009.25%
- Current HPI
- 413.0584
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-18.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2025-05-28 Listed $115,000 CRMLS
- 2024-03-27 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CRMLS
- 2024-03-17 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-03-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-01-21 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-01-06 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-10-30 Price Changed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-08 Listed $135,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…