4764 Steinke Dr · Kingman, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell and ready for its next owner, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,696 sq ft of living space on a generous half- acre lot in a quiet Kingman neighborhood. With great bones and beautiful mountain views, the property provides a solid foundation for someone looking to make it their own and personalize the space to their taste. Recent updates include, fresh paint throughout, new french doors, and a freshly landscaped front & backyard. The large lot offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, parking, or future possibilities. This home presents a wonderful opportunity in a growing area, don't miss your opportunity to call it your own.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Outdoor enjoyment
- Mountain views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (32.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $180k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $119k; list at $265k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 9→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.72%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $341,836
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -22.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4748 Christy Dr Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+6%) | 6mo | $343,000 | $191 | 75 |
| 4812 Christy Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,830 (+8%) | 2mo | $352,000 | $192 | 72 |
| 1405 E Devlin Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,717 (+1%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $122 | 70 |
| 4857 Steinke Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (-7%) | 7mo | $340,000 | $215 | 68 |
| 1064 Selma Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,734 (+2%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $196 | 68 |
| 4813 Scotty Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,864 (+10%) | 7mo | $380,000 | $204 | 68 |
| 4840 Scotty Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,789 (+6%) | 12mo | $395,000 | $221 | 68 |
| 4884 Christy Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,606 (-5%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $209 | 61 |
| 4949 Christy Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,779 (+5%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $194 | 58 |
| 4797 N College Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-3%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 1010 Selma Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,507 (-11%) | 17mo | $313,000 | $208 | 49 |
| 4763 N College Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,511 (-11%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $149 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-58,479
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -26.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-83,513
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86409
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 647
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,798 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-18 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-243 | +10% $-318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-310 | -5% $-239 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-35 | -0.5pp $-101 | base $-168 | +0.5pp $-237 | +1.0pp $-307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-09status $265,000 Pending 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $265,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-28status Active 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Priced to sell and ready for its next owner, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,696 sq ft of living space on a generous half- acre lot in a quiet Kingman neighborhood. With great bones and beautiful mountain views, the property provides a solid foundation for someone looking to make it their own and personalize the space to their taste. Recent updates include, fresh paint throughout, new french doors, and a freshly landscaped front & backyard. The large lot offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, parking, or future possibilities. This home presents a wonderful opportunity in a growing area, don't miss your opportunity to call it your own.
-
2026-02-12$275,000 Active 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Priced to sell and ready for its next owner, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,696 sq ft of living space on a generous half- acre lot in a quiet Kingman neighborhood. With great bones and beautiful mountain views, the property provides a solid foundation for someone looking to make it their own and personalize the space to their taste. Recent updates include, fresh paint throughout, new french doors, and a freshly landscaped front & backyard. The large lot offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, parking, or future possibilities. This home presents a wonderful opportunity in a growing area, don't miss your opportunity to call it your own.
-
2009-07-31soldstatus $119,000
-
2002-02-08soldstatus $116,500
-
1999-11-01soldstatus $108,500
-
1994-06-17soldstatus $96,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$685/yr (+$57/mo · 64.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 9 d/yr ≥100°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,064
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,726
- − Management
- −$1,726
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$6,816
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,636
- After-tax cash flow
- $-382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Kingman
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingman, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- City population
- 60,489
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,365
- Household income
- $50,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.90%
- Current HPI
- 280.1884
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+186.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — WARDEX
- 2026-02-12 Listed $275,000 WARDEX
- 2009-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records
- 2002-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
- 1999-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $108,500 Public Records
- 1994-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,064 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…