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7198 S County Rd. 33
B- Composite 68.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,800

7198 S County Rd. 33 · Cottonwood, AL 36320
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,876 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1940 1.00 ac lot $43/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

Key facts

  • Mature pecan trees
  • Peaceful open fields
  • Chicken coop

Tags

TONGUE-AND-GROOVE CEILINGSCHICKEN COOPSPACIOUS METAL BUILDINGMATURE PECAN TREESPEACEFUL OPEN FIELDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#82 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,618 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
16.80%
Cash-on-cash
37.53%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,215
List price
$79,800
Delta
-50.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7855 S County Road 33 0.65mi 3/2.5 1,632 (-13%) 1mo $209,900 $129 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$31,554
Equity at exit
$11,898
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
4.79×
Total profit
$84,701
Equity at exit
$6,900

Cash invested: $22,344 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36320

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$418
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $609
Max offer price $79,800
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $744 -5% $721 +0% $699 +5% $676 +10% $654
Rent -10% $581 -5% $640 +0% $699 +5% $758 +10% $817
Rate -1.0pp $739 -0.5pp $719 base $699 +0.5pp $678 +1.0pp $657

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,950
Closing costs
$2,394
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $79,800 Pending 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,800 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,800 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,800 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,800 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,800 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,800 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,800 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,800 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,800 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,800 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,800 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,800 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,800 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,800 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,800 Active 76 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    status Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  18. 2026-04-14
    historical Active Under Contract 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  19. 2026-04-08
    price $83,500 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  20. 2026-04-04
    status Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  21. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  22. 2026-03-18
    status Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  23. 2026-02-27
    status Pending 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

  24. 2026-02-16
    listed $90,000 Active 910-char remark
    Show marketing remark (910 chars)

    Take a look and imagine the possibilities with this 1940 farmhouse full of character and charm! Currently offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home is ready for your vision. Renovation has been started, leaving you with a blank canvas to design and finish exactly to your taste. The kitchen and living area feature tongue-and-groove ceilings and walls that could be beautifully restored to highlight an authentic farmhouse feel. Situated on 1 acre and surrounded by mature pecan trees and peaceful open fields, the setting is just as inviting as the home itself. Outside, you'll find a chicken coop and a spacious metal building with a roll-up door that is wired and includes two lean-to bays on each side—perfect for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. With endless potential and room to create your dream country retreat, this property is ready to be brought back to life! Home being sold As Is

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$348 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,917
− Mortgage interest
−$4,470
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$399
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,433
− Management
−$1,433
− Depreciation
−$2,321
Taxable income
$7,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,803
After-tax cash flow
$6,583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
0101770
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,530
Composite
31.01/100
National rank
#6092
State rank
#38 of 129 in AL

Livability — Cottonwood

Score
67/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#10682

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,137
Population (ZIP)
3,137

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.25%
Current HPI
160.737
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent SAMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $83,500 SAMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $90,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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