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36 Lake Ave
C+ Composite 61.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,500

36 Lake Ave · Silver Creek, NY 14136
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1900 0.30 ac lot $48/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Less than a 5-minute walk to the beach and within walking distance to local restaurants, this spacious home is located in the quaint village of Silver Creek. Offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 2,000+ sq ft, this property is full of potential for investors or buyers looking for a fixer-upper that could become a forever home. The home features first-floor laundry, generously sized living spaces, and a 2+ car garage with a full second story for additional storage or future possibilities. With its prime location near the water and plenty of space to work with, this is a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Showings begin immediately.

Key facts

  • Walk to the beach
  • Full second story
  • First-floor laundry

Tags

WALK TO THE BEACHFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYGENEROUSLY SIZED LIVING SPACESFULL SECOND STORY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#698 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Silver Creek Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #435 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $674 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,725 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.20%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,561
List price
$97,500
Delta
-52.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Hanover St 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,021 (-1%) 8mo $220,000 $109 71
88 Main St 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,970 (-4%) 1mo $142,900 $73 64
7 Karen Dr 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,946 (-5%) 6mo $290,000 $149 62
25 Monroe St 0.31mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,933 (-6%) 9mo $250,000 $129 62
8 Burgess St 0.49mi 4/1.5 2,179 (+6%) 8mo $169,900 $78 58
10 Oak St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,944 (-5%) 12mo $170,000 $87 58
5 Knight St 0.64mi 5/1.0 (+1) 2,025 (-1%) 3mo $46,136 $23 57
20 Parkway 0.45mi 4/1.5 1,884 (-8%) 12mo $170,000 $90 54
3 Jaekle Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,207 (+8%) 6mo $55,000 $25 49
14 Robinson St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,888 (-8%) 8mo $215,500 $114 48
9 Prospect St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,856 (-9%) 16mo $180,000 $97 48
26 Robinson St 0.62mi 4/1.5 2,292 (+12%) 10mo $50,000 $22 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,339
Equity at exit
$14,538
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$15,653
Equity at exit
$8,430

Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14136

Home prices YoY
-4.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$511
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,586/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,077
Max offer price $97,500
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,375
Closing costs
$2,925
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,500 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $97,500 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,500 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,500 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,500 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $107,500 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,500 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,500 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,500 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,500 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,500 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $107,500 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,500 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,500 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,500 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $107,500 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Less than a 5-minute walk to the beach and within walking distance to local restaurants, this spacious home is located in the quaint village of Silver Creek. Offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 2,000+ sq ft, this property is full of potential for investors or buyers looking for a fixer-upper that could become a forever home. The home features first-floor laundry, generously sized living spaces, and a 2+ car garage with a full second story for additional storage or future possibilities. With its prime location near the water and plenty of space to work with, this is a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Showings begin immediately.

  17. 2026-04-08
    price $115,000 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Less than a 5-minute walk to the beach and within walking distance to local restaurants, this spacious home is located in the quaint village of Silver Creek. Offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 2,000+ sq ft, this property is full of potential for investors or buyers looking for a fixer-upper that could become a forever home. The home features first-floor laundry, generously sized living spaces, and a 2+ car garage with a full second story for additional storage or future possibilities. With its prime location near the water and plenty of space to work with, this is a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Showings begin immediately.

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $125,000 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    Less than a 5-minute walk to the beach and within walking distance to local restaurants, this spacious home is located in the quaint village of Silver Creek. Offering 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, and approximately 2,000+ sq ft, this property is full of potential for investors or buyers looking for a fixer-upper that could become a forever home. The home features first-floor laundry, generously sized living spaces, and a 2+ car garage with a full second story for additional storage or future possibilities. With its prime location near the water and plenty of space to work with, this is a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Showings begin immediately.

  19. 2017-07-25
    soldstatus $80,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A must to see. This house was recently remodled with many improvements including new roof, windows, porch. and vinyl siding. This 1900 house has beautiful woodwork through out. Complete with two full bathrooms on both floors. Adding to this house is a very nice wood burning stove that will warm your body on a cold winter night. The detached garage has a very large loft that would serve as a nice work shop. Make appointment today!!!

  20. 2017-07-25
    soldstatus $80,000
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A must to see. This house was recently remodled with many improvements including new roof, windows, porch. and vinyl siding. This 1900 house has beautiful woodwork through out. Complete with two full bathrooms on both floors. Adding to this house is a very nice wood burning stove that will warm your body on a cold winter night. The detached garage has a very large loft that would serve as a nice work shop. Make appointment today!!!

  21. 2017-07-24
    soldstatus $79,712
  22. 2016-11-11
    listed $89,000
  23. 2016-11-10
    listed $89,000 435-char remark
    Show marketing remark (435 chars)

    A must to see. This house was recently remodled with many improvements including new roof, windows, porch. and vinyl siding. This 1900 house has beautiful woodwork through out. Complete with two full bathrooms on both floors. Adding to this house is a very nice wood burning stove that will warm your body on a cold winter night. The detached garage has a very large loft that would serve as a nice work shop. Make appointment today!!!

  24. 2014-05-01
    listed $89,900
  25. 2011-10-02
    listed $79,900
  26. 2004-05-10
    soldstatus $23,120
  27. 2004-05-05
    soldstatus $23,120
  28. 2004-03-31
    soldstatus $69,681
  29. 2003-09-19
    listed $27,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 33% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,102
− Mortgage interest
−$5,462
− Property taxes
−$3,586
− Insurance
−$488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,288
− Management
−$1,288
− Depreciation
−$2,836
Taxable income
$1,155
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$277
After-tax cash flow
$2,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Silver Creek Central School District
NCES district ID
3626880
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$48,212
Composite
40.1/100
National rank
#3804
State rank
#435 of 590 in NY

Livability — Silver Creek

Score
65/100
State rank
#698
US rank
#13141

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Creek, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,274

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 9% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.33%
Current HPI
291.4708
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+295.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $107,500 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $115,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $125,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-07-25 Sold (MLS) $80,000 UNYREIS
  • 2017-07-25 Sold (MLS) $80,000 UNYREIS
  • 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $79,712 Public Records
  • 2016-11-11 Listed $89,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-11-10 Listed $89,000 UNYREIS
  • 2014-05-01 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2011-10-02 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2004-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $23,120 Public Records
  • 2004-05-05 Sold (MLS) $23,120 UNYREIS
  • 2004-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $69,681 Public Records
  • 2003-09-19 Listed $27,200 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,586 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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