11595 4 Mile Rd · Battle Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for some sweat equity in Harper Creek Schools. Located on just under 2 acres, this three bedroom, two bath home has a partial basement. Main floor has living room, dining room and kitchen. Pole barn is 31x25 and has 8ft ceilings. Condition of in-ground pool is unknown. Property will be sold AS-IS with seller not doing any repairs or inspections.
Key facts
- Just under 2 acres
- Pole barn
- Kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1942
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Partial basement (foundation)
- Exterior features: Pole barn; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Fireplace; Window treatments; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-579/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (4.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Harper Creek Community Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sonoma Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 378 students, 45% FRL); Harper Creek Middle School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 834 students, 47% FRL); Harper Creek High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 904 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $190k implies a 604% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.09%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-26,154
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,366
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49015
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,466 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $6 | +0% $-48 | +5% $-102 | +10% $-156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-164 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-48 | +5% $10 | +10% $68 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $47 | -0.5pp $0 | base $-48 | +0.5pp $-97 | +1.0pp $-148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5360 Glenn Cross Rd Battle Creek, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5370 Glenn Cross Rd Battle Creek, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 10 Rambling Ln Battle Creek, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 988 | $1,609 | $1.63 | 15d | 33 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21$190,000 Active
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Great opportunity for some sweat equity in Harper Creek Schools. Located on just under 2 acres, this three bedroom, two bath home has a partial basement. Main floor has living room, dining room and kitchen. Pole barn is 31x25 and has 8ft ceilings. Condition of in-ground pool is unknown. Property will be sold AS-IS with seller not doing any repairs or inspections.
-
2026-05-21$190,000 Active 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Great opportunity for some sweat equity in Harper Creek Schools. Located on just under 2 acres, this three bedroom, two bath home has a partial basement. Main floor has living room, dining room and kitchen. Pole barn is 31x25 and has 8ft ceilings. Condition of in-ground pool is unknown. Property will be sold AS-IS with seller not doing any repairs or inspections.
-
2026-05-21$190,000 Active 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Great opportunity for some sweat equity in Harper Creek Schools. Located on just under 2 acres, this three bedroom, two bath home has a partial basement. Main floor has living room, dining room and kitchen. Pole barn is 31x25 and has 8ft ceilings. Condition of in-ground pool is unknown. Property will be sold AS-IS with seller not doing any repairs or inspections.
-
2014-12-15soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,574 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,250 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$676/yr (+$56/mo · 42.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,597
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,408
- − Management
- −$1,408
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$3,913
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$939
- After-tax cash flow
- $360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harper Creek Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617730
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,979
- Composite
- 28.6/100
- National rank
- #6713
- State rank
- #313 of 540 in MI
Livability — Battle Creek
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #5031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- City population
- 91,590
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,765
- Household income
- $68,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.20%
- Current HPI
- 206.7754
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.13%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+603.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-21 Listed $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,574 · -37.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…